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Africa Mobile Market Resource Centre

Index

Top 25 African Mobile Operators by Total Subscribers
Top 25 African Mobile Operators by Net Additions
April 2008: Nigeria gently nudges ahead of South Africa


Africa Mobile Factbook 2008

Claim your FREE copy of the 'Africa Mobile Factbook 2008'


Claim your free copy of Blycroft's 'Africa Mobile Factbook 2008'.

The 'Africa Mobile Factbook 2008' is 22-pages of detailed data on the mobile industry with analysis by Country and by Operator, with both annual growth and quarterly growth highlighted. And it's yours completely free when you complete the Application Form!

"Thanks a lot for sending me a copy of Africa Mobile Factbook 2008, containing very useful information on Africa region telecommunication data."
June 2008: International Business Division, Reliance

Bar Chart showing Top 10 MEA Mobile Operators year to 1Q 2008 by Net Additions

Africa and the Middle East has seen very strong growth in the 12 months to 31 March 2008. The Top 10 has seen some changes, with the changes involving Zain in Iraq propelling the operator into 6th. place. The top two positions are occupied by Iraq's MCI with 8.21 million net additions just beating MTN's Irancell with 7.95 million. Iraq and Egypt account for six out of the 10 leading operators, with the three leading operators in each market making it into the Top 10 - a remarkable performance. Even more so given the recent entry of Etisalat into the Egyptian market

Click here for a full analysis of the Africa and Middle East Mobile Telecoms Market 4Q 2008 with subscriber numbers and mobile penetration for all operators and States.

Nigeria bags 20 percent of the entries - not surprisingly given the country's status as one the faster growing markets in Africa, having now - just - topped South Africa in terms of the total number of net subscribers. Kenya is also showing steady growth with Safaricom in 8th place.

Zain Iraq secured its place in the table by the merger of Orascom's network with Zain's Atheer. Saudi Telecom holds the flag for Saudi Arabia. Mobily would have made it into the Top 10 had the regulator not expressed concerns about the methodolgy being applied by the Etisalat-managed operator to the recording of 'active subscribers'. Indeed both the Egyptian and Saudi regulators have called for greater transparancy with the reporting of subscriber numbers, and it may well be that the Etisalat Misr figures will also see some adjustment. Certainly Mobily's rapid increase in numbers were exceptional.

The Egyptian market was given extra impetus by the arrival of a new entrant in the form of Etisalat, which launched in the second quarter of 2007. MobiNil is in third place having added some 5.49 million snet subscribers, whilst Vodafone netted some 4.42 million in a year, and putting it in 5th place.

Nigeria is now Africa's largest mobile market and Zain's Celtel saw some 5.36 million net additions to put it in 4th place, whilst MTN added some 4.38 million subscribers and placing it 7th. This growth is despite concerns expressed by the regulator regarding 'quality of service' on the GSM networks, the regulator having requested a period of consolidation.

Kenya's Safaricom claimed 4.03 million net additions, although the documentation issued for its recent IPO led to some concerns that numbers might be overstated.

Bar chart showing Top 25 African Mobile Operators 4Q 2007 subscriber data

Rank

Name

Operator

4Q07

y-on-y % change

1

South Africa

Vodacom

24,255,000

11%

2

Nigeria

MTN

16,511,000

34%

3

Egypt

MobiNil

15,117,626

63%

4

South Africa

MTN

14,799,000

19%

5

Egypt

Vodafone

13,333,000

53%

6

Algeria

Djezzy GSM

13,382,254

27%

7

Morocco

Maroc

13,327,000

24%

8

Nigeria

Glo Mobile

11,830,000

30%

9

Nigeria

Celtel

11,090,000

73%

10

Kenya

Safaricom

9,200,000

72%

11

Algeria

ATM Mobilis

8,000,000

18%

12

Morocco

Méditel

6,702,000

30%

13

South Africa

Cell-C

4,800,000

45%

14

Algeria

Nedjma

4,535,983

52%

15

Ghana

Spacefon

4,016,000

55%

16

Libya

Libyana

4,000,000

100%

17

Tanzania

Vodacom

3,945,000

33%

18

Sudan

Mobitel

3,833,000

39%

19

Tunisia

Tunisiana

3,651,813

19%

20

Tunisia

Tunisie Telecom

3,608,000

11%

21

Egypt

Etisalat Misr

3,100,000

 

22

Angola

Unitel

3,306,900

61%

23

Sudan

Sudatel

3,170,000

146%

24

Dem. Rep. of the Congo

Vodacom

3,269,000

40%

25

Cote d'Ivoire

Orange

2,860,407

38%

         
 

Other Africa

 

75,138,741

57%

Bar Chart showing Top 25 African Mobile Operators 4Q on 3Q 2007 Subscriber Data by Net Additions

3 April 2008: Nigeria gentle edges ahead of South Africa

Nigeria is about to gently nudge South Africa into second place as the African state with the largest number of mobile subscribers.

Figures realeased by the Nigerian Communications Commission (NCC) placed the total active subscriber base at 41.5 million at the end of 2007.

South Africa suffered during the year when Vodacom restated its subscriber numbers, with the removal of inactive accounts, although this was countered by Cell-C who attracted higher levels of new users in the final quarter.

This is not to say that Nigeria has not also had its problems, with the regulator first instructing operators not to sign new clients, and then more recently fining operators for poor service.

According to Blycroft's Mobile Operator Database, if the trend established at the beginning of the year continues, then Nigeria will take the lead position during April.

South Africa has a mobile penetartion of some 92 percent at the end of 4Q 2007, and this is forecast to rise to 98 percent by the end of 2Q 2008. Meanwhile Nigeria had a mobile penetartion rate of only 31 percent at the end of 4Q 2007, highlighting the enormous potential that Nigeria now represents.

Even more remarkable is the fact that less than 10 years ago, Nigeria had just 400,000 lines and one state-owned monopoly operator.

Line graph showing Top 6 African States by Mobile Subscribers 4Q05 - 4Q07, with forecasts to 2Q08

Source: Industry data & estimates © 2008 Blycroft Ltd

Line graph showing Top 6 African Mobile Markets by mobile penetration 4Q05 - 4Q07, with forecasts to 2Q08

Source: Industry data & estimates © 2008 Blycroft Ltd

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