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Global Macrocell Baseband Unit Market Analysis and Forecast 2017-2021

Global Macrocell Baseband Unit Market Analysis and Forecast, 2017-2021

Market Study
Published: August 2017
Pages: 87
Research from: EJL Wireless Research
Sector: Networks & Infrastructure

From: GBP 4442.00
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Global Macrocell Baseband Unit Market Analysis and Forecast, 2017-2021, 13th Edition

This report provides a comprehensive analysis for the global digital baseband

unit (BBU) market. This report covers the global market share for 2016

shipments as well as a forecast for 2017-2021. The report covers the following

wireless air interfaces:

2G GSM/EDGE

3G UMTS/CDMA

4G LTE/LTE-Advanced

4.5G LTE-Advanced Pro

4.9G LTE-Advanced Pro Massive MIMO

5G New Radio Massive MIMO

Features

2016 Shipments by OEM Vendor

2016 Shipments by Region

2016 Shipments by Frequency Cluster

2016 Shipments by Air Interface

2017-2021 Forecast by Region

2017-2021 Forecast by Air Interface

2017-2021 Forecast by Frequency Cluster

Total Pages: 87

Total Exhibits: 45

Total Tables: 35

 

 

 

The global digital baseband unit (BBU) market grew 13% in 2016 and exceeded our forecast

by 28%. Total BBU shipments across all air interfaces were x million for 2016, another

record year for the industry.

This report only focuses on the macrocell BBU market. Please visit our website for market

analysis reports covering the remote radio unit (RRU) and radio transceiver (TRX) markets.

How well did we do in our forecast from a year ago?

The good:

We were correct in our prediction of the China market with a +10% variance

We were correct in our prediction of the Europe market with a +2% variance

We were correct in our prediction of the Latin America market with a -6% variance

The not so good:

We were incorrect in our prediction of the total market with a +28% variance

We were incorrect in our prediction of the LTE market with a +48% variance

A negative % variance means our forecast was higher than actual shipments while a

positive % variance means our forecast was lower than actual shipments.

In this thirteenth edition of the report, we have completely reorganized our dataset

categories to streamline the analysis and to better reflect the current trends for 4G

LTE/LTE-Advanced/LTE-Advanced Pro and 5G NR BBUs.

2016 Review: Preparing for 4.5G

China was still the market to be in for 2016 as it represented 37% of overall global BBU

shipments. This meant that Chinese-based suppliers Datang, Huawei Technologies, and ZTE

were able to capitalize on their domestic market with foreign suppliers limited to 5-10%

market share.

China shipments were essentially flat in 2016 compared with 2015.

Demand in the North America was strong due to 700MHz deployments as well as refarming

of 850MHz and 1900MHz spectrum.

LTE deployments in Asia Pacific also drove demand across SE Asia. India shipments

increased by 60% as Reliance Jio completed its network roll out to launch commercial

services.

Oil-based countries that in the past were able to fund network large projects were weak in

CAPEX spending such as Russia and Nigeria.

 

We believe that mobile operators upgraded their BBUs in anticipation of supporting 4.5G

network launches in 2017 and beyond.

The top suppliers by overall BBU shipments as well as for LTE technologies for 2016 were:

Overall #1 BBU Supplier: Vendor X

Overall #1 LTE eNodeB Supplier: Vendor X

Overall #1 FDD-LTE eNodeB Supplier: Vendor X

Overall #1 TDD-LTE eNodeB Supplier: Vendor X

Tier 1 (>20% Market Share)

AAA

BBB

Tier 2 (10-20% Market Share)

CCC

DDD

Tier 3 (<10% Market Share)

EEE

Others

 

We have gathered data through exhaustive channel checks and interviews to key players in

the global wireless infrastructure market sector in order to understand the dynamics of the

market and the dynamics of each OEM supplier of BBU equipment. We have also gathered

public data as well using our proprietary contacts to construct what we believe is a realistic

forecast for the global digital baseband market.

We wish to caution our readers that we are erring on the side of conservatism in our

forecast assumptions and are attempting to define a lower boundary range of many possible

outcomes over the next five years through 2021. We will be highlighting any possible upside

potential to our estimates throughout the report to remind readers what could be potential

swing factors that could positively and negatively impact our assumptions and forecast.

Our market statistics and unit data have been sanitized through many cross checks and

examinations in order to fully correlate the data to each OEM. We believe that our data

represents a very realistic view on OEM BBU shipments for 2015-2016.

IMPORTANT NOTE

Some OEM vendors experience an increase/decline in year over year shipments even

though the total RF RRU and TRx shipments may have been higher/lower on a year

over year basis. This is due to the critical TRx/BBU ratio we use to calculate

estimated BBU shipments by OEMs.

BBU Acronyms

2G = Base Transmitting Station (BTS)

3G = NodeB (NB)

4G = evolved NodeB (eNodeB or eNB)

5G = generation Node (gNodeB or gNB); also known as the Distributed Unit (DU)

portion of the Central Access Controller (CAC) of 5G RAN

BBU Architecture Definitions:

Macro Cell Indoor/Outdoor Baseband: We define a macro cell BBU as a digital base band

unit (BBU) or digital unit (DU) that is associated with multiple RF radio transceiver units

(TRx) that are typically deployed as an RF module (RFM) or remote radio unit (RRU). The

BBU may be used in a centralized RAN (C-RAN), distributed RAN (D-RAN) or cloud RAN (Cl-

RAN) network architecture. The BBU may also form the signaling source for a distributed

antenna system (DAS).

 

We also define a BBU as the combination of baseband processing + transport and control

functions. This solution may exist in various forms including:

Single box containing baseband processing + transport and control functions

Multi-slot backplane chassis which may contain separate baseband processing cards

for single or multi-RAT support and separate processing/transport cards for single or

multi-RAT support.

Single box server based software based virtual BBU

In the case of the multi-slot backplane chassis configuration, the physical backplane chassis

may contain up to three digital BBUs, one for GSM, W-CDMA & LTE. EJL Wireless Research

would define this combination as three BBUs and not one BBU.

Additionally, the configuration of the BBU will have a potentially sizable impact on the

number of cells or RRUs supported by each BBU. In some OEM vendor configurations, a BBU

can support up to 36 cells or RRUs.

Air Interface Definitions

Following is the definition of differences between 2G/3G4G technologies analyzed in this

report:

2G = GSM/EDGE, CDMA2000 1x, iDEN

3G/UMTS = W-CDMA/HSPA+, CDMA2000 1xEVDO (Rev. 0, A, B), TD-SCDMA, TDCDMA

4G = FDD and TDD LTE, LTE-Advanced (LTE-A)

4.5G = LTE-Advanced Pro (LTE-AP) without massive MIMO

4.9G = LTE-Advanced Pro (LTE-AP) with massive MIMO

5G = New Radio (NR)

All technologies that are defined within the 3GPP Rel 15 specification are considered 5G

technologies.

 

4G/4.5G Frequency Clusters – Non Massive MIMO

FDD 600-1000MHz includes the following 3GPP bands:

600MHz Band 71

700MHz Bands 12/13/14/17/28/29

800MHz Band 20

850MHz Band 5/18/19/26

900MHz Band 8

FDD 1500-2700MHz includes the following 3GPP bands:

1500MHz Band 11/32

1800MHz Band 3

1900MHz Band 2/25

2000MHz Band 70

2100MHz Band 1

2100MHz Band 4/66

2300MHz Band 30

2600MHz Band 7

TDD 600-1000MHz includes the following 3GPP bands:

700MHz Band 44

TDD 1500-2700MHz includes the following 3GPP bands:

1900MHz Band 33

2000MHz Band 34

2300MHz Band 40

2500MHz Band 41

TDD 3400-3700MHz includes the following 3GPP bands:

3500MHz Band 42

3600MHz Band 48 (CBRS)

3700MHz Band 43

4.9G Frequency Clusters –Massive MIMO

FDD 1500-2700MHz (assumed to be 32x32)

TDD 1500-2700MHz (assumed to be 64x64)

5G Frequency Clusters – Massive MIMO

TDD 5G NR 700MHz (assumed to be 16x16)

TDD 5G NR 3.5GHz* (assumed to be 64x64)

TDD 5G NR 4.5GHz** (assumed to be 64x64)

TDD 5G NR 24-30GHz (assumed to be 128x128)

TDD 5G NR 37-53GHz (assumed to be 128x128)

 

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