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Sub-Saharan Africa telecoms market: trends and forecasts 2016–2021

Sub-Saharan Africa telecoms market: trends and forecasts 2016–2021

Market Study
Published: October 2016
Pages: 56 slides
Research from: Analysys Mason
Sector: Broadband & Fixed

From: GBP 5714.00
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 "Sub-Saharan Africa's telecoms market offers opportunities for strong revenue growth, with more than 1.0 billion mobile connections and USD51 billion in total service revenue forecasted by 2021."

This report analyses the most-important trends that are affecting fixed and mobile telecoms services in Sub-Saharan Africa (SSA), and examines the impact that these trends will have during the next 5 years. The increased availability of low-cost smartphones, the improved coverage of 3G, and the deployment of 4G networks, are all helping to drive the demand for data connectivity and the development of innovative digital services. In addition, investment in fixed–wireless and fibre technologies will help to drive the adoption of fixed broadband in SSA.

This report and associated data annex provide:

  • a 5-year forecast of more than 175 mobile and fixed KPIs for Sub-Saharan Africa, as a whole and for 11 key countries
  • an in-depth analysis of the trends, drivers and forecast assumptions for each type of mobile and fixed service, and for key countries
  • an overview of operator strategies and country-specific topics, in order to highlight similarities and differences by means of a cross-country comparison
  • a summary of results, key implications and recommendations for mobile and fixed operators


Geographical coverage


Key performance indicators

Regions modelled

  • Sub-Saharan Africa


Countries modelled individually

  • Cameroon
  • Côte d’Ivoire
  • Ghana
  • Kenya
  • Nigeria
  • Rwanda
  • South Africa
  • Sudan
  • Tanzania
  • Uganda
  • Zambia


Countries not modelled individually, but modelled as part of the region as a whole

  • Angola
  • Benin
  • Botswana
  • Burkina Faso
  • Burundi
  • Cape Verde
  • Central African Republic
  • Chad
  • Comoros
  • Congo (Democratic Republic of)
  • Congo (Republic of)
  • Djibouti
  • Equatorial Guinea
  • Eritrea
  • Ethiopia
  • Gabon
  • Gambia
  • Guinea
  • Guinea-Bissau
  • Lesotho
  • Liberia
  • Madagascar
  • Malawi
  • Mali
  • Mauritania
  • Mauritius
  • Mayotte
  • Mozambique
  • Namibia
  • Niger
  • Réunion
  • São Tomé and Principe
  • Senegal
  • Seychelles
  • Sierra Leone
  • Somalia
  • Saint Helena
  • Swaziland
  • Togo
  • Zimbabwe



  • Handset, mobile broadband, M2M
  • Prepaid, contract
  • 2G, 3G, 4G, 5G
  • Smartphone,



  • Voice, broadband, IPTV, dial-up
  • Narrowband voice, VoBB
  • DSL, FTTP/B, cable, BFWA, other


Fixed and mobile voice traffic

  • Outgoing minutes, MoU



  • Service, retail
  • Prepaid, contract
  • Handset, mobile broadband, M2M
  • Handset voice, messaging, data



  • Service, retail
  • Voice, broadband, IPTV, dial-up, BNS
  • DSL, FTTP/B, cable, BFWA, other


Mobile ARPU

  • SIMs, handset
  • Prepaid, contract
  • Handset voice, data

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