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Latest Updates & Industry Developments
Latest market data suggest the mobile subscriptions declined to 50.9mn in Q1 2016 after 1.8mn subscribers were lost in the first quarter of the year. Furthermore, an additional 800,000 subscribers were shed in Q4 2015. These losses suggest a significant number of inactive prepaid accounts have been shed by operators and this trend could continue in the future as the penetration rate increase above the 167% mark. We estimate only modest organic growth prospects in terms of subscriber numbers out to 2020 as our estimates suggest the mobile market will grow to around 57.8mn by end of our current forecast period.
3G/4G uptake in the country has remained healthy, with an estimated 33.39mn 3G/4G enabled subscribers in the country by YE15, over 63% of the market. Our forecast estimates over 80% of the market using 3G/4G services by end of 2020. 63% of the market. The wireline voice market grew to 3. 8 mn subscribers at the end of 2015, according to the regulator's data. However, demand for high - speed data services is driving growth in the wireline broadband segment. Total fixed and mobile broadband subscribers approximated to around 23.75mn at end of 2015, a number we see growing to over 25.93mn by 2020.
|Mobile Market Saturation Evident|
|Net Additions (000) & Penetration Rate (%), 2014-2016|
|Source: BMI, Operator data, National regulator|
Providing expert analysis, independent forecasts and competitive intelligence on the telecommunications industry.
Report includes: BMI Industry View, Industry SWOT Analysis, BMI Industry Forecast Scenario, Telecommunications Risk Reward Index, Market Overview, Regulatory Environment, Company Profiles and Competitive
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