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BMI View: If the deal between Bell and MTS is approved, we will see more consolidation in the Canadian telecoms market driven by the 'big three' : Bell, Rogers and Telus . Scale is required to make necessary network investments, and the national mobile market is a core driver towards transforming the legacy provincial fixed market structure.
Latest Updates & Industry Developments
Approximately 988,720 new mobile subscriptions were added throughout 2015, taking the total to 29.4mn. This was better than expected and we forecast the figure to reach 29,7 mn by the end 2016. The focus is on 3G/4G migration and customer numbers will reach 21.1mn by December 2016 and 27.9mn by 2020.
In the wireline arena, the focus is on rolling out fibre-based high-speed access, upon which operators can deliver multiple high-value services. Triple-play services are becoming commonplace; there is little appetite for basic or 'no frills' services outside urban areas. There were about 14.7mn broadband connections by the end of 2015, and this is expected to rise to 16.1 mn by 20 20.
|Organic Growth Elusive, Focus Now On Upselling|
|Canada Mobile Market Forecasts|
|e/f = BMI estimate/forecast. Source: BMI, operators, CWTA|