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|Little Impact From 'Brexit' Until Withdrawal Terms Are Decided|
|UK Mobile & Broadband Forecasts, 2014-2020|
|e/f = BMI estimate/forecast. Source: BMI, operators, Ofcom|
Latest Updates & Industry Developments
The terms of the UK's future relationship with the European Single Market are yet to be decided; UK operators' involvement in the European Digital Single Market will likely continue, given the importance of the UK as a technology research hub, its very attractive datacentre industry and access to key global international submarine cable systems. At the local level, little will change as the UK and European regulators effectively operate to very similar industry development models.
We anticipate little in the way of a slowdown in voice and broadband usage as these services have, in the past, proven to be largely resilient to economic downturns and recessions such as those that might occur in the lead-up to and wake of 'Brexit'.
BMI estimates the UK mobile market ended Q116 with 78.39mn subscribers, a y-o-y growth of just 0.9%. There were 29.96mn broadband subscribers in Q315, of which 24.4mn were fixed. Out of those, BT had a 32.3% market share.