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Global pay TV revenues [subscription fees and PPV movies and TV episodes] for 138 countries will only grow by $99 million between 2015 and 2021 to $205.92 billion; having peaked in 2018. This follows 19.5% growth between 2010 and 2015, according to the Digital TV Revenue Forecasts report.
North American pay TV revenues will fall by $13.5 billion between 2015 and 2021. Cord-cutting is responsible for some of this loss, but greater competition and conversion to bundles (with the lower revenues for TV than standalone offers) are more pressing factors. Western Europe will be flat at $31 billion.
Simon Murray, Principal Analyst at Digital TV Research, said: “Most of the rest of the world will not follow the North American experience. True, pay TV revenues will fall in 27 countries between 2015 and 2021, but not to the same extent as in Canada and the US. Most countries are nowhere near the market maturity achieved in North America.”
Excluding North America, pay TV revenues will climb by $13.6 billion (up by 14%) between 2015 and 2021 to $107.82 billion, having recorded $20 billion growth (up by 28%) between 2010 and 2015. North America’s share of the global total will fall from 57.4% in 2010 to 54.2% in 2015 and 47.6% in 2021.
Asia Pacific revenues will grow by $8 billion (up by 25%) between 2015 and 2021 to $40 billion. Asia Pacific overtook Western Europe in 2014, and will be larger than the whole of Europe by 2019.
Published in May 2016, this 248-page electronically-delivered report comes in two parts:
• A PDF giving a global Executive Summary, comparison tables and rankings (138 territories).
• An excel workbook providing relevant forecasts for each country, comparison and ranking tables; covering pay TV revenues [subscriptions and on-demand revenues for movies and TV episodes].