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BMI View : T here is a surfeit of competition in Taiwan's saturated mobile market. Pressure for operators to consolidate will intensify in 2016, but regulatory resistance is expected; this would be damaging to an industry that needs to address mounting debt ahead of the adoption of 5G early in the next decade and growing demand for 'everything everywhere' services and solutions.
|4G Supplanting 2G And 3G Networks|
|Taiwan Mobile Forecasts|
|f = BMI forecast. Source: BMI, operators, NCC|
Latest Updates & Industry Developments
Mobile subscriptions increased appreciably in 2015, despite saturated market conditions. We forecast 30.720mn subscriptions by end-2016, rising to 33.053mn in 2020. 3G/4G migration will drive growth, although some multi-SIM ownership will persist.
Demand for low-capacity wireline broadband continues to decline, but 4G and fibre connections will facilitate uptake of high-value triple- and quad-play services. Subscriptions will reach 30.142mn in 2020, but will yield higher ARPU.
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Report includes: BMI Industry View, Industry SWOT Analysis, BMI Industry Forecast Scenario, Telecommunications Risk Reward Index, Market Overview, Regulatory Environment, Company Profiles and Competitive
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