The Sub-Saharan African (SSA) region will experience relatively strong growth in mobile revenue, compared with other regions. In 2014, SSA accounted for 6.3% of worldwide mobile telecoms service revenue, and we expect this to increase to 6.5% by 2020.
Connections will increase in most countries in SSA, driven by improved coverage and competition, but growth will slow down as a result of increased taxation of the telecoms industry, mobile termination rate (MTR) cuts (which will reduce the need for multiple SIMs), and the enforcement of SIM registration, which will inhibit the demand for new connections.
The greater availability of low-priced devices, expanding 3G and 4G coverage, improved service quality, and the availability of innovative mobile data offers will help support the take-up of data services.
This report and associated data annex provide:
- commentary and trend analysis to support our 5-year forecast for SSA
- worldwide context, regional analysis and specific country commentary for four key countries: Ghana, Kenya, Nigeria and South Africa
- forecasting informed by robust historical data, as well as our unique, in-house modelling tool, which applies a rigorous methodology (including the reconciliation of different sources, standard definitions, top-down and bottom-up modelling).