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Triple-Play Forecasts

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Management Report
Published: November 2013
Pages: 310
Research from: digital TV research
Sector: Media & Entertainment

From: GBP 900.00
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Telcos and cable operators are investing heavily in their networks to upgrade their subscribers to bundles (triple-play or double-play). These operators will reap the rewards of this investment as total subscription revenues (pay TV (including on-demand), broadband and fixed-line telephony) will increase by 65% from $124 billion in 2012 to $205 billion in 2018, according to the Triple-Play Forecasts report from Digital TV Research.

Covering 97 countries, triple-play subscription revenues will reach $144 billion in 2018, up by $80 billion on the 2012 total. Triple-play revenues will command 70% of total subscription revenues by 2018, up from 52% in 2012 and 36% in 2008.

Triple-play subscriptions will reach 333 million by 2018; up by more than 300 million since 2008 and up by 239 million on the 2012 total. China will have 115 million triple-play subscribers by 2018 (with only 9 million recorded at end-2012) – or 34% of the global total.

The number of triple-play households will overtake the standalone TV total in 2016. The standalone TV total will begin to decline from 2016 as more and more homes convert to bundles.

About 21% of the world’s TV households (covering 97 countries) will subscribe to triple-play services by 2018. This is up from just 7% penetration at end-2012 and only 2% at end-2008.

Published in November 2013, this 310-page electronically-delivered report comes in three parts:
• An 88-page PDF giving a global executive summary and comparison tables.
• A 98-page PDF giving country-by-country forecasts in detail for 97 territories.
• An excel workbook providing triple-play, double-play and standalone subscriber and revenue forecasts from 2008 to 2018 for 97 countries as well as handy comparison tables.

Triple-play revenues to reach $144 billion

Telcos and cable operators are investing heavily in their networks to upgrade their subscribers to bundles (triple-play or double-play). These operators will reap the rewards of this investment as total subscription revenues (pay TV (including on-demand), broadband and fixed-line telephony) will increase by 65% from $124 billion in 2012 to $205 billion in 2018, according to the Triple-Play Forecasts report from Digital TV Research.

Covering 97 countries, triple-play subscription revenues will reach $144 billion in 2018, up by $80 billion on the 2012 total. Triple-play revenues will command 70% of total subscription revenues by 2018, up from 52% in 2012 and 36% in 2008.

The US ($60 billion – double the 2012 total) will account for 42% of the world’s triple-play revenues by 2018, although this is down from a 59% share in 2008.

Simon Murray, Principal Analyst at Digital TV Research, said: "Triple-play revenues overtook standalone TV revenues in 2009. Standalone TV revenues will start falling from 2013 as subscribers defect to bundles and as cable and DSL/fiber operators offer lower-priced packages due to greater competition from other platforms."

Triple-play subscriptions will reach 333 million by 2018; up by more than 300 million since 2008 and up by 239 million on the 2012 total. China will have 115 million triple-play subscribers by 2018 (with only 9 million recorded at end-2012) – or 34% of the global total.

The number of triple-play households will overtake the standalone TV total in 2016. The standalone TV total will begin to decline from 2016 as more and more homes convert to bundles.

About 21% of the world’s TV households (covering 97 countries) will subscribe to triple-play services by 2018. This is up from just 7% penetration at end-2012 and only 2% at end-2008.

Despite rapid growth in IPTV subscriptions, cable will contribute nearly two-thirds of triple-play subscribers by 2018. Triple-play penetration will remain a lot higher in DSL and fiber homes (71% by 2018) than in cable homes (42%). However, the DSL and fiber proportion will not grow by too much, whereas the cable proportion will double from 18% in 2012.

 

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