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BMI View: Our Q314 East Africa report analyses latest industry, regulatory and macroeconomic developments in the telecoms markets of Burundi, Ethiopia, Malawi, Rwanda, South Sudan and Sudan. Analysis of market data provided by telecoms regulators and network operators show slightly slower subscriptions growth across the six countries in 2013 compared to 2012. ARPUs continued to drop in countries with competitive markets and are now firmly in low single digits, a situation affecting operators' profitability. We expect operators to introduce high-value services targeted at wealthy segments of the population to drive revenue growth, while also implementing efficiency improvement solutions to reduce operating expenses.
Average mobile market growth in the six countries in Q114 was 2%. Malawi recorded the highest growth rate, estimated at 5.6%, while South Sudan saw 2.7% contraction.
Average mobile penetration among the six countries was 40.3% at the end of March 2014.
Average monthly ARPU fell below US$3 in 2013. Only South Sudan recorded ARPU of more than US$5, while Burundi, Malawi and Rwanda reported sub-US$3.5 ARPUs.
Most of the countries in our East Africa report are underperformers on the regional scale in our Sub-Saharan Africa Risk/Reward Ratings (RRR) table. This is due to a combination of a number of industry specific and macroeconomic factors. The industry specific factors include continued monopoly in the Ethiopian telecoms sector, relatively low ARPUs because of price competition and low income levels, and political and economic uncertainty in some of the markets.
The East Africa Telecommunications Report features Business Monitor International (BMI)'s independent industry forecasts on the future strength of Sudan, Ethiopia, Malawi, Rwanda, Burundi's ICT market, covering the fixed-line, mobile and internet segments and analyses latest regulatory developments and corporate news, including investment activity, mergers and acquisitions, joint ventures and partnerships. Leading operators and manufacturers are fully profiled, highlighting their quarterly financial performance, capital expenditure plans and latest contracts.
BMI's East Africa Telecommunications Report provides industry professionals and researchers, operators, equipment suppliers and vendors, corporate and financial services analysts and regulatory bodies with independent forecasts and competitive intelligence on the telecoms industry in Sudan, Ethiopia, Malawi, Rwanda, Burundi.
- Benchmark BMI's independent telecoms industry forecasts for Sudan, Ethiopia, Malawi, Rwanda, Burundi to test other views - a key input for successful budgeting and strategic business planning in the Sudanese, Ethiopian, Malawian, Rwandan, Burundian telecoms market.
- Target business opportunities and risks in Sudan, Ethiopia, Malawi, Rwanda, Burundi's telecoms sector through our reviews of latest industry trends, regulatory changes and major deals, projects and investments in Sudan, Ethiopia, Malawi, Rwanda, Burundi.
- Assess the activities, strategy and market position of your competitors, partners and clients via our Company Profiles (inc. SWOTs, KPIs and latest activity).