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Global Microcell BTS Market Analysis & Forecast, 2012-2017, 2nd Edition

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Market Study
Published: May 2013
Pages: 76
Research from: EJL Wireless Research
Sector: Networks & Infrastructure

From: GBP 2188.00
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This report provides a comprehensive analysis for the global wireless microcell base station market. We define microcell base stations as having an RF output power of 5-10W per transceiver (TRx). This report DOES NOT analyze the picocell <2W RF output power per transceiver and femtocell <250mW RF output power per transceiver market segments. We also cover the carrier-grade 802.11ac WiFi access point market in our analysis.

This analysis covers 78 countries across the following regions:

  North America
  Latin America
  Western Europe
  Eastern Europe
  The Middle East
  Asia Pacific

  Regional analysis for 4G/WiFi and WiFi only microcells
  2013-2017 Microcell BTS Shipment Forecast by Air Interface
  2013-2017 Microcell BTS Shipment Forecast by Geography
  Total Pages: 76
  Total Tables:85
  Total Exhibits: 42

Our analysis within this report focuses ONLY on the outdoor microcell base station market defined as base stations having 5W-10W RF output power per TRx and not products that are in the 250mW to 1W per transceiver (TRx) category which we define as picocells. Some in the industry call these 5-10W products metrocells or picocells. We also include carrier grade 802.11ac outdoor only WiFi access points in our analysis as this technology will be strategically important in many markets globally as an alternative to W-CDMA and LTE microcells.

Our key findings in this analysis are:

10%MMPR microcell BTS market of x million units

50% MMPR microcell BTS market of x million units

WiFi-only microcell BTS will account for over 50% of the total market opportunity in unit volumes by 2017 Total microcell BTS revenues will reach USD$3 billion by 2017 Microcell BTS market expected to begin high volume commercial shipments in 2014 Asia Pacific region represents x% of global microcell BTS opportunity by 2017 Our conservative estimates using a 10% microcell/macrocell penetration ratio (MMPR) for major cities across 78 countries reveals a CUMULATIVE potential of 1.3 million microcell base stations for 3G/4G/Wi-Fi types. The MMPR analysis DOES NOT include Wi-Fi only access points. We will be referring to Wi-Fi as WiFi for the remainder of this report. Actual penetration and deployments could be well below this figure as advances in LTE-A technology (3GPP Rel 10) increase throughput and capacity of the macrocell network layer. We do not think it is realistic that the 100% MMRP level would ever be reached for any mobile network and merely present this as an upper limit in our analysis.

Our market trends and assumptions are the following:

Mobile broadband data traffic continues to exponentially increase on mobile networks, growing at nearly 2-3x each year Macrocell base station capacity only incrementally improves by 10-150% over the next few years Penetration of data-centric Firefox OS, Android OS and Apple iOS smartphones across all economic tiers increases globally LTE and LTE-A network deployments continue through 2017 Carrier-grade WiFi microcells will support 802.11ac technology only We have also assumed a tiered approach to our MMPR analysis, ranging from a ratio of 3:1 up to 9:1 depending on the population density within a city. Each city in every country for every mobile operator will have a different approach and deployment. We have made generalized assumptions across different countries and regions globally.

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