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Next-Generation Carrier's Network - Architectures, Economics and Forecasts

Next-Generation Carrier's Network - Architectures, Economics and Forecasts

Table of Contents

Market Study
Published: July 2009
Pages: For full details, please email keithw@cmsinfo.com
Tables: For full details, please email keithw@cmsinfo.com
From: GBP 1559.38  Buy Now!
Research from: Information Gatekeepers Inc.
Sector: Broadband & Fixed

This report reviews the techniques for NGN planning and some of the drivers in today’s market for that planning activity. It includes the following major areas:

The general forecast for the U.S. economy and particularly the U.S. telcos.
Forecasts of CapEx for the next five years.
A survey of what major players are doing in NGN planning.
Interviews with some of the top thinkers in the telecommunications business today about NGN.
The changing face of the network - why it is changing and how.
A discussion of what the major carriers are doing in related areas.
Our characterization of the NGN - access, speed, and flexibility.
Our forecast for the next-generation network architecture - access, transport, and control.
A presentation of architectural options facing a telecommunications company it the advanced access area, and a model of the related economics.
A discussion of standards activity related to NGN.
A description of the major technology groups in the NGN, with forecasts for their deployment.
A listing of major vendors of NGN hardware and software.
Why have an NGN? ? Why change networks?
If we have a perfectly good, working network, why do we change it? Why do we evolve it? This report reviews the techniques for NGN planning and some of the drivers in today’s market for that planning activity. It includes the following major areas:

The general forecast for the U.S. economy and particularly the U.S. telcos.
Forecasts of CapEx for the next five years.
A survey of what major players are doing in NGN planning.
Interviews with some of the top thinkers in the telecommunications business today about NGN.
The changing face of the network - why it is changing and how.
A discussion of what the major carriers are doing in related areas.
Our characterization of the NGN - access, speed, and flexibility.
Our forecast for the next-generation network architecture - access, transport, and control.
A presentation of architectural options facing a telecommunications company it the advanced access area, and a model of the related economics.
A discussion of standards activity related to NGN.
A description of the major technology groups in the NGN, with forecasts for their deployment.
A listing of major vendors of NGN hardware and software.
Why have an NGN? ? Why change networks?
If we have a perfectly good, working network, why do we change it? Why do we evolve it?

Here are some reasons:

We find a way to make it cheaper to operate. (e.g., changing from open wire to plastic sheathed cables).
We find a way to make it cheaper to grow. (e.g., we add cross-boxes).
We find that we need more capacity. (e.g., we convert from cable-derived circuits to T-1-derived circuits).
The end-user devices (station apparatus) demands that we provide more or different functionality. (e.g., HDTV delivery). Of course, particularly with items 1, 2, and 3, there is often a mixture of motives for change. Often the need for more, cheaper capacity will combine items 2 and 3, for example. Over time, the importance of these reasons has changed.

As a part of this report, we will find that now the reason for changing networks is to meet end user-demand for services. The rationale for changing networks is moving from technology/cost savings to customer-driven!

Customer is King!

In most businesses, this would not be such a radical statement, but in the networking business, it is! The discussion above notes that station apparatus is driving network change. It really means that the end customers will buy station apparatus that reflects their needs, and that the network providers will strive to meet those needs. The history of the networking business, as noted before, is that network evolution steps were determined monolithically, and so were end-user capabilities. Now there are hundreds, maybe thousands, of companies devoted to the development of station apparatus to meet customers’ needs as they see them. Network evolution is driven by the competitive desire of the multiple network providers to have networks that are capable of interfacing with this station apparatus.

This idea, that the customer is king, runs through all of our interviews with industry leaders later in this report. Particularly, see Didier Lombard, CEO and chairman, France Telecom Group, who proclaims, “The customer is at the heart of our approach to innovation.”

This is part of a major series of reports being published by Information Gatekeepers on the subject of telco business transformations and the next-generation network. Many of the world’s telcos are now involved in redefining the way they do business, and the kind of network they need in their planned new environment. This series of reports will be a “how to” manual as well as a report on activities by the various major players, and forecasts for the resulting next-generation network.

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