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Indonesia: Rising Competition to Spur Telecom Revenue Growth
The Indonesian telecom market, including fixed, mobile and pay-TV services, generated $9.0bn in service revenue in 2009, a figure representing a 41% increase from 2006 levels ($6.4bn). Telecom service revenue in 2009, however, accounted for only 1.7% of Indonesia’s GDP, low when compared with neighbor countries such as Thailand (3.3% of GDP), Vietnam (5.3%) and Malaysia (4.2%). This, together with low penetration levels across all services, suggests there is ample room for growth in Indonesia’s telecom market. Fixed broadband household penetration stood at only 0.5% in 2009, well below the regional average. Mobile subscription penetration of population, 64% at year-end 2009, is also a low figure, particularly when taking into consideration actual user penetration, which stood at 39% at year-end 2009. Given these factors, Pyramid Research expects Indonesia to be one of the most important growth markets globally, with revenue expanding at a CAGR of 12.4% through 2014, when the market will be worth $16.2bn. Mobile voice and data, fixed broadband Internet and fixed voice revenue from limited mobility services will be the main growth drivers.