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Turkey: A Strong Telecom Recovery Is on the Horizon
With the effects of the economic crisis slowly diminishing, we forecast revenue growth to stabilize in US dollar terms at a projected 4.5% CAGR through 2014. We believe that growth will be propelled by strong demand for mobile voice and data services, as the markets for fixed voice and narrowband Internet access shrink.
We forecast a 4.4% CAGR in mobile voice revenue between 2009 and 2014. Mobile data will also be gaining importance, as signaled by the enthusiasm of the mobile market toward new 3G services.
We expect further growth to be driven by a strong penetration of fixed broadband access and an accompanying increase in VoIP adoption and IPTV services. Aided by the satellite operators’ exclusive rights to live football broadcast, the pay-TV segment will grow at a CAGR of 12.5%.