Home > Market Research > Mobile Markets > Worldwide Mobile Market Forecasts 2009-2013

Table of Contents

Management Report
Published: September 2008
Pages: 359
Tables: 278
From: GBP 1495.00   Buy Now!
Research from: Portio Research
Sector: Mobile Markets

Late in 2007 the total number of mobile subscribers worldwide passed 3 billion, and our new market forecasts report shows this figure is set to climb to more than 5.5 billion by the end of 2013.

This detailed new resource book is packed with all the essential market forecast data you need with detailed country profiles for 73 key country markets. Packed with subscriber data, handset forecasts, MNO KPIs, ARPU and churn data and much more, you cannot afford to miss out on this valuable industry resource.

Key features of this exciting and detailed new study:

> Ranking of the world’s top 30 growth markets from 2007 to 2013
> Identify growth opportunities in key regional markets
> Country level subscriber growth forecasts for 73 key markets
> Analyze 5-year market forecasts to 2013
> 3G growth forecasts for all markets
> Study MNO market share and KPIs
> Understand the prepaid/post-paid split in each country
> Examine ARPU trends, churn rates, penetration and handset shipments

All this and more in this massive 359 page report

About this report

This report, the third edition in this popular series, is packed with useful data and statistics you can use for your own internal reports, presentations and market forecasts. This study by Portio Research aims to serve as a guide for mobile network operators, handset vendors, application developers and content providers to enable them to better understand the worldwide mobile market and identify future growth prospects. The country profiles in this report will help you to identify key target markets for future growth, and the technology forecasts show the likely growth of 3G over the coming years.

The worldwide mobile subscriber base crossed the 3 billion mark in late 2007 and is now expected to cross 5.5 billion by the end of 2013. Emerging markets worldwide, such as China and India, account for the fastest growth in the overall mobile subscriber base. These emerging markets, along with a few key developed markets that are still showing signs of sustained growth, are expected to fuel the growth of the mobile subscriber base worldwide over the coming years. As we have witnessed over the past few years, the bulk of growth in the worldwide subscriber base is expected to continue to come from the Asia Pacific region, Africa, the Middle East and Latin America.

This report comprises data collected from 73 mobile markets and over 240 mobile network operators worldwide. The report contains statistics, forecasts and detailed analyses of the 73 mobile markets, covering the following:

Country snapshot

> Mobile market overview
> Competitive landscape
> Trends and forecasts (subscriber forecast, regulatory developments, VAS trends, other points of interest)

Technological status

The technology break-out (2G, 3G split) of mobile subscribers from 2005 to 2013 is provided for each of the 73 markets in this report. The report also includes information on worldwide subscriber numbers, penetration levels, regional comparisons, top 20 emerging markets, top 10 developed markets, data services trends, and handset and infrastructure markets.

The key sections of this report are as follows:

> The first section of this report contains a brief analysis of the worldwide mobile market, data services trends, handset shipments worldwide and the worldwide infrastructure market. Handset sales and shipment statistics are provided from 2005 to 2013.
> The second section provides a worldwide and regional overview of the growth of the mobile subscriber base. It also provides information on the top 20 emerging markets and top 10 developed markets by subscriber addition.
> The third section of this report covers regional analyses of subscriber growth and penetration. In each of the regions, the top five growth markets are also highlighted.

Technology and market forecasts until 2013 are provided for each of the regions, with coverage of major markets in terms of subscriber growth from 2005 to 2013, competitive landscape, key statistics of major mobile network operators and major trends.

Top of Page

Table of Contents

Objective of this Report18
Introduction .20
Introduction .21
Worldwide Mobile Penetration .. 21
Worldwide Mobile Service Revenue .. 21
Worldwide Mobile Voice Revenue .. 22
Worldwide Mobile Data Services Revenue . 23
Worldwide Mobile ARPU.. 23
Worldwide Handset Shipments. 24
Worldwide Market Share Comparison – by Handset Vendor. 26
Worldwide Infrastructure Vendor Revenue . 27
Worldwide Mobile Market 28
Worldwide Mobile Market 29
Worldwide – Mobile Subscribers.. 29
Regional Mobile Subscribers . 29
Regional Growth in Mobile Subscribers  30
Worldwide – Top 20 Emerging Markets by Subscriber Addition .. 31
Worldwide – Top 10 Developed Markets by Subscriber Addition  32
Worldwide – Technology Forecast.. 32
Region 1: Western and Northern Europe. 34
Region 1: Western and Northern Europe. 35
Austria 38
Belgium .42
Denmark47
Finland ..51
France55
Germany ..60
Ireland 64
Italy..68
The Netherlands72
Norway ..78
Portugal.82
Spain..86
Sweden .90
Switzerland..94
The UK..98
Region 2: Central and Eastern Europe .. 102
Region 2: Central and Eastern Europe .. 103
Belarus 106
Bulgaria ..109
Croatia.113
Czech Republic 117
Greece 121
Hungary..125
Lithuania.129
Poland .133
Romania.137
Russia .141
Serbia..145
Slovakia..149
Turkey .153
Ukraine157
Region 3: Asia Pacific . 161
Region 3: Asia Pacific . 162
Afghanistan ..165
Australia .168
Bangladesh ..172
China176
Hong Kong 179
India .183
Indonesia187
Japan ..190
Kazakhstan ..194
Malaysia .198
New Zealand 202
Pakistan .205
The Philippines208
Singapore..212
South Korea .216
Taiwan.220
Thailand .224
Vietnam ..228
Region 4: North America 232
Region 4: North America 233
Canada  235
The US  239
Region 5: Latin America. 244
Region 5: Latin America. 245
Argentina  248
Brazil 252
Chile. 256
Colombia 259
Jamaica..262
Mexico.265
Peru..269
Venezuela .272
Region 6: Africa . 275
Region 6: Africa . 276
Algeria.279
Democratic Republic (DR) of Congo .282
Egypt 285
Kenya..289
Morocco .293
Nigeria.296
South Africa..300
Sudan..304
Tunisia.308
Region 7: Middle East. 311
Region 7: Middle East. 312
Iran 315
Iraq 318
Israel 322
Jordan .326
Saudi Arabia.329
Syria.333
UAE..336
Conclusion.. 339
Conclusion.. 340
Appendices. 344
Glossary .345
Portio Research Classifications  355
About the Authors..356

List of Figures
Figure 1: Worldwide Mobile Penetration (In Percent, 2005-2013E)..21
Figure 2: Worldwide Mobile Service Revenue (In USD Billion, 2005-2013E) ..22
Figure 3: Worldwide Mobile Voice Revenue (In USD Billion, 2005-2013E) ..22
Figure 4: Worldwide Mobile Data Services Revenue (In USD Billion, 2005-2013E).23
Figure 5: Worldwide Mobile ARPU (In USD, 2005-2013E) 24
Figure 6: Worldwide Handset Shipments (In Million, 2005-2013E)24
Figure 7: Worldwide Market Share Comparison – by Handset Vendor (2006 and 2007) ..26
Figure 8: Worldwide Infrastructure Vendor Revenue (In USD Billion, 2005-2013E) .27
Figure 9: Worldwide – Mobile Subscribers (In Million, 2005–2013E)29
Figure 10: Worldwide – Technology Forecast (2008E)..32
Figure 11: Worldwide – Technology Forecast (In Million, 2005–2013E)33
Figure 12: Western and Northern Europe – Mobile Subscribers (In Million, 2005–2013E)..35
Figure 13: Western and Northern Europe – Technology Forecast (2008E).37
Figure 14: Western and Northern Europe – Technology Forecast (In Million, 2005–2013E)..37
Figure 15: Austria – Market Share (In Percent, June 2008E) .39
Figure 16: Austria – Mobile Subscribers (In Million, 2008E–2013E)40
Figure 17: Austria – Break-out of Mobile Subscriber Base by Technology (In Million, 2005–2013E) .41
Figure 18: Belgium – Market Share (In Percent, June 2008E) ..42
Figure 19: Belgium – Mobile Subscribers (In Million, 2008E–2013E) .45
Figure 20: Belgium – Break-out of Mobile Subscriber Base by Technology (In Million, 2005–2013E)46
Figure 21: Denmark – Market Share (In Percent, June 2008E).48
Figure 22: Denmark – Mobile Subscribers (In Million, 2008E–2013E) ..49
Figure 23: Denmark – Break-out of Mobile Subscriber Base by Technology (In Million, 2005–2013E) 50
Figure 24: Finland – Market Share (In Percent, June 2008E).51
Figure 25: Finland – Mobile Subscribers (In Million, 2008E–2013E) ..53
Figure 26: Finland – Break-out of Mobile Subscriber Base by Technology (In Million, 2005–2013E).54
Figure 27: France – Market Share (In Percent, June 2008E) .56
Figure 28: France – Mobile Subscribers (In Million, 2008E–2013E)58
Figure 29: France – Break-out of Mobile Subscriber Base by Technology (In Million, 2005–2013E) .59
Figure 30: Germany – Market Share (In Percent, June 2008E).60
Figure 31: Germany – Mobile Subscribers (In Million, 2008E–2013E) ..63
Figure 32: Germany – Break-out of Mobile Subscriber Base by Technology (In Million, 2005–2013E) 63
Figure 33: Ireland – Market Share (In Percent, June 2008E) .64
Figure 34: Ireland – Mobile Subscribers (In Million, 2008E–2013E) 66
Figure 35: Ireland – Break-out of Mobile Subscriber Base by Technology (In Million, 2005–2013E) .67
Figure 36: Italy – Market Share (In Percent, June 2008E)68
Figure 37: Italy – Mobile Subscribers (In Million, 2008E–2013E) .70
Figure 38: Italy – Break-out of Mobile Subscriber Base by Technology (In Million, 2005–2013E)71
Figure 39: The Netherlands – Market Share (In Percent, June 2008E).73
Figure 40: The Netherlands – Mobile Subscribers (In Million, 2008E–2013E)76
Figure 41: The Netherlands – Break-out of Mobile Subscriber Base by Technology (In Million, 2005–2013E) 77
Figure 42: Norway – Market Share (In Percent, June 2008E) 78
Figure 43: Norway – Mobile Subscribers (In Million, 2008E–2013E)..80
Figure 44: Norway – Break-out of Mobile Subscriber Base by Technology (In Million, 2005–2013E) 81
Figure 45: Portugal – Market Share (In Percent, June 2008E) ..82
Figure 46: Portugal – Mobile Subscribers (In Million, 2008E–2013E).84
Figure 47: Portugal – Break-out of Mobile Subscriber Base by Technology (In Million, 2005–2013E) 85
Figure 48: Spain – Market Share (In Percent, June 2008E) 86
Figure 49: Spain – Mobile Subscribers (In Million, 2008E–2013E)..88
Figure 50: Spain – Break-out of Mobile Subscriber Base by Technology (In Million, 2005–2013E) 89
Figure 51: Sweden – Market Share (In Percent, June 2008E) ..90
Figure 52: Sweden – Mobile Subscribers (In Million, 2008E–2013E) .92
Figure 53: Sweden – Break-out of Mobile Subscriber Base by Technology (In Million, 2005–2013E)93
Figure 54: Switzerland – Market Share (In Percent, June 2008E)94
Figure 55: Switzerland – Mobile Subscribers (In Million, 2008E–2013E) .96
Figure 56: Switzerland – Break-out of Mobile Subscriber Base by Technology (In Million, 2005–2013E) 97
Figure 57: The UK – Market Share (In Percent, June 2008E) 98
Figure 58: The UK – Mobile Subscribers (In Million, 2008E–2013E)100
Figure 59: The UK – Break-out of Mobile Subscriber Base by Technology (In Million, 2005–2013E) 101
Figure 60: Central and Eastern Europe – Mobile Subscribers (In Million, 2005–2013E) 103
Figure 61: Central and Eastern Europe – Technology Forecast (2008E) ..105
Figure 62: Central and Eastern Europe – Technology Forecast (In Million, 2005–2013E) 105
Figure 63: Belarus – Market Share (In Percent, June 2008E) .106
Figure 64: Belarus – Mobile Subscribers (In Million, 2008E–2013E)107
Figure 65: Belarus – Break-out of Mobile Subscriber Base by Technology (In Million, 2005–2013E) 108
Figure 66: Bulgaria – Market Share (In Percent, June 2008E) ..109
Figure 67: Bulgaria – Mobile Subscribers (In Million, 2008E–2013E)..111
Figure 68: Bulgaria – Break-out of Mobile Subscriber Base by Technology (In Million, 2005–2013E) 112
Figure 69: Croatia – Market Share (In Percent, June 2008E).114
Figure 70: Croatia – Mobile Subscribers (In Million, 2008E–2013E) 115
Figure 71: Croatia – Break-out of Mobile Subscriber Base by Technology (In Million, 2005–2013E) 116
Figure 72: Czech Republic – Market Share (In Percent, June 2008E) ..117
Figure 73: Czech Republic – Mobile Subscribers (In Million, 2008E–2013E) ..119
Figure 74: Czech Republic – Break-out of Mobile Subscriber Base by Technology (In Million, 2005–2013E) 120
Figure 75: Greece – Market Share (In Percent, June 2008E).121
Figure 76: Greece – Mobile Subscribers (In Million, 2008E–2013E) 123
Figure 77: Greece – Break-out of Mobile Subscriber Base by Technology (In Million, 2005–2013E) 124
Figure 78: Hungary – Market Share (In Percent, June 2008E)..125
Figure 79: Hungary – Mobile Subscribers (In Million, 2008E–2013E) .127
Figure 80: Hungary – Break-out of Mobile Subscriber Base by Technology (In Million, 2005–2013E) 128
Figure 81: Lithuania – Market Share (In Percent, June 2008E).129
Figure 82: Lithuania – Mobile Subscribers (In Million, 2008E–2013E) 131
Figure 83: Lithuania – Break-out of Mobile Subscriber Base by Technology (In Million, 2005–2013E) 132
Figure 84: Poland – Market Share (In Percent, June 2008E) .133
Figure 85: Poland – Mobile Subscribers (In Million, 2008E–2013E).135
Figure 86: Poland – Break-out of Mobile Subscriber Base by Technology (In Million, 2005–2013E) 136
Figure 87: Romania – Market Share (In Percent, June 2008E) .138
Figure 88: Romania – Mobile Subscribers (In Million, 2008E–2013E).139
Figure 89: Romania – Break-out of Mobile Subscriber Base by Technology (In Million, 2005–2013E) 140
Figure 90: Russia – Market Share (In Percent, June 2008E) .141
Figure 91: Russia – Mobile Subscribers (In Million, 2008E–2013E) .143
Figure 92: Russia – Break-out of Mobile Subscriber Base by Technology (In Million, 2005–2013E)144
Figure 93: Serbia – Market Share (In Percent, June 2008E)..145
Figure 94: Serbia – Mobile Subscribers (In Million, 2008E–2013E)..147
Figure 95: Serbia – Break-out of Mobile Subscriber Base by Technology (In Million, 2005–2013E) 148
Figure 96: Slovakia – Market Share (In Percent, June 2008E)..149
Figure 97: Slovakia – Mobile Subscribers (In Million, 2008E–2013E) .151
Figure 98: Slovakia – Break-out of Mobile Subscriber Base by Technology (In Million, 2005–2013E) 152
Figure 99: Turkey – Market Share (In Percent, June 2008E) .154
Figure 100: Turkey – Mobile Subscribers (In Million, 2008E–2013E)155
Figure 101: Turkey – Break-out of Mobile Subscriber Base by Technology (In Million, 2005–2013E) 156
Figure 102: Ukraine – Market Share (In Percent, June 2008E)..157
Figure 103: Ukraine – Mobile Subscribers (In Million, 2008E–2013E) .159
Figure 104: Ukraine – Break-out of Mobile Subscriber Base by Technology (In Million, 2005–2013E) 160
Figure 105: Asia Pacific – Mobile Subscribers (In Million, 2005–2013E).162
Figure 106: Asia Pacific – Technology Forecast (2008E)164
Figure 107: Asia Pacific – Technology Forecast (In Million, 2005–2013E).164
Figure 108: Afghanistan – Market Share (In Percent, June 2008E) ..165
Figure 109: Afghanistan – Mobile Subscribers (In Million, 2008E–2013E).166
Figure 110: Afghanistan – Break-out of Mobile Subscriber Base by Technology (In Million, 2005–
2013E) 167
Figure 111: Australia – Market Share (In Percent, June 2008E) 168
Figure 112: Australia – Mobile Subscribers (In Million, 2008E–2013E)170
Figure 113: Australia – Break-out of Mobile Subscriber Base by Technology (In Million, 2005–2013E) 171
Figure 114: Bangladesh – Market Share (In Percent, June 2008E) .173
Figure 115: Bangladesh – Mobile Subscribers (In Million, 2008E–2013E).174
Figure 116: Bangladesh – Break-out of Mobile Subscriber Base by Technology (In Million, 2005–2013E) 175
Figure 117: China – Market Share (In Percent, June 2008E)..176
Figure 118: China – Mobile Subscribers (In Million, 2008E–2013E) .177
Figure 119: China – Break-out of Mobile Subscriber Base by Technology (In Million, 2005–2013E) 178
Figure 120: Hong Kong – Market Share (In Percent, June 2008E) ..179
Figure 121: Hong Kong – Mobile Subscribers (In Million, 2008E–2013E)..181
Figure 122: Hong Kong – Break-out of Mobile Subscriber Base by Technology (In Million, 2005–2013E) 182
Figure 123: India – Market Share (In Percent, June 2008E) 183
Figure 124: India – Mobile Subscribers (In Million, 2008E–2013E)185
Figure 125: India – Break-out of Mobile Subscriber Base by Technology (In Million, 2005–2013E) 186
Figure 126: Indonesia – Market Share (In Percent, June 2008E) .187
Figure 127: Indonesia – Mobile Subscribers (In Million, 2008E–2013E) .188
Figure 128: Indonesia – Break-out of Mobile Subscriber Base by Technology (In Million, 2005–2013E) 189
Figure 129: Japan – Market Share (In Percent, June 2008E) ..191
Figure 130: Japan – Mobile Subscribers (In Million, 2008E–2013E).192
Figure 131: Japan – Break-out of Mobile Subscriber Base by Technology (In Million, 2005–2013E) 193
Figure 132: Kazakhstan – Market Share (In Percent, June 2008E) .195
Figure 133: Kazakhstan – Mobile Subscribers (In Million, 2008E–2013E).196
Figure 134: Kazakhstan – Break-out of Mobile Subscriber Base by Technology (In Million, 2005–2013E) 197
Figure 135: Malaysia – Market Share (In Percent, June 2008E)199
Figure 136: Malaysia – Mobile Subscribers (In Million, 2008E–2013E)200
Figure 137: Malaysia – Break-out of Mobile Subscriber Base by Technology (In Million, 2005–2013E) 201
Figure 138: New Zealand – Market Share (In Percent, June 2008E)..202
Figure 139: New Zealand – Mobile Subscribers (In Million, 2008E–2013E)..203
Figure 140: New Zealand – Break-out of Mobile Subscriber Base by Technology (In Million, 2005–2013E) 204
Figure 141: Pakistan – Market Share (In Percent, June 2008E) 205
Figure 142: Pakistan – Mobile Subscribers (In Million, 2008E–2013E)206
Figure 143: Pakistan – Break-out of Mobile Subscriber Base by Technology (In Million, 2005–2013E) 207
Figure 144: The Philippines – Market Share (In Percent, June 2008E) ..208
Figure 145: The Philippines – Mobile Subscribers (In Million, 2008E–2013E) .210
Figure 146: The Philippines – Break-out of Mobile Subscriber Base by Technology (In Million, 2005–2013E)..211
Figure 147: Singapore – Market Share (In Percent, June 2008E).212
Figure 148: Singapore – Mobile Subscribers (In Million, 2008E–2013E) 214
Figure 149: Singapore – Break-out of Mobile Subscriber Base by Technology (In Million, 2005–2013E) 215
Figure 150: South Korea – Market Share (In Percent, June 2008E) .216
Figure 151: South Korea – Mobile Subscribers (In Million, 2008E–2013E)218
Figure 152: South Korea – Break-out of Mobile Subscriber Base by Technology (In Million, 2005–2013E) 219
Figure 153: Taiwan – Market Share (In Percent, June 2008E) ..220
Figure 154: Taiwan – Mobile Subscribers (In Million, 2008E–2013E) ..222
Figure 155: Taiwan – Break-out of Mobile Subscriber Base by Technology (In Million, 2005–2013E) 223
Figure 156: Thailand – Market Share (In Percent, June 2008E) 225
Figure 157: Thailand – Mobile Subscribers (In Million, 2008E–2013E)226
Figure 158: Thailand – Break-out of Mobile Subscriber Base by Technology (In Million, 2005–2013E) 227
Figure 159: Vietnam – Market Share (In Percent, June 2008E).229
Figure 160: Vietnam – Mobile Subscribers (In Million, 2008E–2013E) 230
Figure 161: Vietnam – Break-out of Mobile Subscriber Base by Technology (In Million, 2005–2013E) 231
Figure 162: North America – Mobile Subscribers (In Million, 2005–2013E) ..233
Figure 163: North America – Technology Forecast (2008E) .234
Figure 164: North America – Technology Forecast (In Million, 2005–2013E) ..234
Figure 165: Canada – Market Share (In Percent, June 2008E) ..236
Figure 166: Canada – Mobile Subscribers (In Million, 2008E–2013E) .237
Figure 167: Canada – Break-out of Mobile Subscriber Base by Technology (In Million, 2005–2013E) 238
Figure 168: The US – Market Share (In Percent, June 2008E)239
Figure 169: The US – Mobile Subscribers (In Million, 2008E–2013E)..242
Figure 170: The US – Break-out of Mobile Subscriber Base by Technology (In Million, 2005–2013E) 243
Figure 171: Latin America – Mobile Subscribers (In Million, 2005–2013E) 245
Figure 172: Latin America – Technology Forecast (2008E) ..247
Figure 173: Latin America – Technology Forecast (In Million, 2005–2013E) 247
Figure 174: Argentina – Market Share (In Percent, June 2008E)..249
Figure 175: Argentina – Mobile Subscribers (In Million, 2008E–2013E) .250
Figure 176: Argentina – Break-out of Mobile Subscriber Base by Technology (In Million, 2005–2013E) 251
Figure 177: Brazil – Market Share (In Percent, June 2008E) ..252
Figure 178: Brazil – Mobile Subscribers (In Million, 2008E–2013E)..254
Figure 179: Brazil – Break-out of Mobile Subscriber Base by Technology (In Million, 2005–2013E) 255
Figure 180: Chile – Market Share (In Percent, June 2008E)256
Figure 181: Chile – Mobile Subscribers (In Million, 2008E–2013E) ..257
Figure 182: Chile – Break-out of Mobile Subscriber Base by Technology (In Million, 2005–2013E) 258
Figure 183: Colombia – Market Share (In Percent, June 2008E)259
Figure 184: Colombia – Mobile Subscribers (In Million, 2008E–2013E)..260
Figure 185: Colombia – Break-out of Mobile Subscriber Base by Technology (In Million, 2005–2013E) 261
Figure 186: Jamaica – Market Share (In Percent, June 2008E).262
Figure 187: Jamaica – Mobile Subscribers (In Million, 2008E–2013E) 263
Figure 188: Jamaica – Break-out of Mobile Subscriber Base by Technology (In Million, 2005–2013E) 264
Figure 189: Mexico – Market Share (In Percent, June 2008E)265
Figure 190: Mexico – Mobile Subscribers (In Million, 2008E–2013E) ..267
Figure 191: Mexico – Break-out of Mobile Subscriber Base by Technology (In Million, 2005–2013E) 268
Figure 192: Peru – Market Share (In Percent, June 2008E) 269
Figure 193: Peru – Mobile Subscribers (In Million, 2008E–2013E) 270
Figure 194: Peru – Break-out of Mobile Subscriber Base by Technology (In Million, 2005–2013E) 271
Figure 195: Venezuela – Market Share (In Percent, June 2008E) .272
Figure 196: Venezuela – Mobile Subscribers (In Million, 2008E–2013E)273
Figure 197: Venezuela – Break-out of Mobile Subscriber Base by Technology (In Million, 2005–2013E) 274
Figure 198: Africa – Mobile Subscribers (In Million, 2005–2013E).276
Figure 199: Africa – Technology Forecast (2008E)278
Figure 200: Africa – Technology Forecast (In Million, 2005–2013E).278
Figure 201: Algeria – Market Share (In Percent, June 2008E).279
Figure 202: Algeria – Mobile Subscribers (In Million, 2008E–2013E) ..280
Figure 203: Algeria – Break-out of Mobile Subscriber Base by Technology (In Million, 2005–2013E) 281
Figure 204: DR Congo – Market Share (In Percent, June 2008E) .282
Figure 205: DR Congo – Mobile Subscribers (In Million, 2008E–2013E)283
Figure 206: DR Congo – Break-out of Mobile Subscriber Base by Technology (In Million, 2005–2013E) 284
Figure 207: Egypt – Market Share (In Percent, June 2008E)286
Figure 208: Egypt – Mobile Subscribers (In Million, 2008E–2013E) .287
Figure 209: Egypt – Break-out of Mobile Subscriber Base by Technology (In Million, 2005–2013E) 288
Figure 210: Kenya – Market Share (In Percent, June 2008E)..290
Figure 211: Kenya – Mobile Subscribers (In Million, 2008E–2013E) 291
Figure 212: Kenya – Break-out of Mobile Subscriber Base by Technology (In Million, 2005–2013E) 292
Figure 213: Morocco – Market Share (In Percent, June 2008E) .294
Figure 214: Morocco – Mobile Subscribers (In Million, 2008E–2013E)295
Figure 215: Morocco – Break-out of Mobile Subscriber Base by Technology (In Million, 2005–2013E) 295
Figure 216: Nigeria – Market Share (In Percent, June 2008E).297
Figure 217: Nigeria – Mobile Subscribers (In Million, 2008E–2013E) ..298
Figure 218: Nigeria – Break-out of Mobile Subscriber Base by Technology (In Million, 2005–2013E) 299
Figure 219: South Africa – Market Share (In Percent, June 2008E) .301
Figure 220: South Africa – Mobile Subscribers (In Million, 2008E–2013E) 302
Figure 221: South Africa – Break-out of Mobile Subscriber Base by Technology (In Million, 2005–2013E) 303
Figure 222: Sudan – Market Share (In Percent, June 2008E)..305
Figure 223: Sudan – Mobile Subscribers (In Million, 2008E–2013E) 306
Figure 224: Sudan – Break-out of Mobile Subscriber Base by Technology (In Million, 2005–2013E) 307
Figure 225: Tunisia – Market Share (In Percent, June 2008E) 308
Figure 226: Tunisia – Mobile Subscribers (In Million, 2008E–2013E) ..309
Figure 227: Tunisia – Break-out of Mobile Subscriber Base by Technology (In Million, 2005–2013E) 310
Figure 228: Middle East – Mobile Subscribers (In Million, 2005–2013E) 312
Figure 229: Middle East – Technology Forecast (2008E) ..314
Figure 230: Middle East – Technology Forecast (In Million, 2005–2013E) 314
Figure 231: Iran – Market Share (In Percent, June 2008E)..315
Figure 232: Iran – Mobile Subscribers (In Million, 2008E–2013E) .316
Figure 233: Iran – Break-out of Mobile Subscriber Base by Technology (In Million, 2005–2013E) 317
Figure 234: Iraq – Market Share (In Percent, June 2008E)..319
Figure 235: Iraq – Mobile Subscribers (In Million, 2008E–2013E) .320
Figure 236: Iraq – Break-out of Mobile Subscriber Base by Technology (In Million, 2005–2013E) 321
Figure 237: Israel – Market Share (In Percent, June 2008E) ..323
Figure 238: Israel – Mobile Subscribers (In Million, 2008E–2013E)..324
Figure 239: Israel – Break-out of Mobile Subscriber Base by Technology (In Million, 2005–2013E) 325
Figure 240: Jordan – Market Share (In Percent, June 2008E) .326
Figure 241: Jordan – Mobile Subscribers (In Million, 2008E–2013E)327
Figure 242: Jordan – Break-out of Mobile Subscriber Base by Technology (In Million, 2005–2013E) 328
Figure 243: Saudi Arabia – Market Share (In Percent, June 2008E) ..330
Figure 244: Saudi Arabia – Mobile Subscribers (In Million, 2008E–2013E) ..331
Figure 245: Saudi Arabia – Break-out of Mobile Subscriber Base by Technology (In Million, 2005–2013E) 332
Figure 246: Syria – Market Share (In Percent, June 2008E)333
Figure 247: Syria – Mobile Subscribers (In Million, 2008E–2013E) ..334
Figure 248: Syria – Break-out of Mobile Subscriber Base by Technology (In Million, 2005–2013E) 335
Figure 249: UAE – Market Share (In Percent, June 2008E).336
Figure 250: UAE – Mobile Subscribers (In Million, 2008E–2013E) 337
Figure 251: UAE – Break-out of Mobile Subscriber Base by Technology (In Million, 2005–2013E) 338

List of Tables
Table 1: Quarterly Handset Shipments Worldwide – (In Million, Q1 2007- Q2 2008E) .25
Table 2: Regional Mobile Subscribers (In Million, 2007 and 2008E) ..29
Table 3: Regional Growth in Mobile Subscribers (2007–2013E) ..30
Table 4: Worldwide – Top 20 Emerging Markets by Subscriber Addition (2007–2013E) .31
Table 5: Worldwide – Top 10 Developed Markets by Subscriber Addition (2007–2013E)32
Table 6: Western and Northern Europe – Mobile Subscribers and Penetration (2007 and 2008E).35
Table 7: Western and Northern Europe – Mobile Subscriber Growth (In Million, 2007–2013E) 36
Table 8: Western and Northern Europe – Top 5 Growth Markets (2007–2013E).36
Table 9: Austria – Subscriber Base, Pre-paid Post-paid Split and Penetration (2005 - June 2008E) 38
Table 10: Austria – MNOs Overview .39
Table 11: Austria – MNOs KPIs39
Table 12: Austria – MVNOs and Operators 40
Table 13: Belgium – Subscriber Base, Pre-paid Post-paid Split and Penetration (2005 - June 2008E) 42
Table 14: Belgium – MNOs Overview43
Table 15: Belgium – MNOs KPIs.43
Table 16: Belgium – MVNOs and Operators .44
Table 17: Denmark – Subscriber Base, Pre-paid Post-paid Split and Penetration (2005 - June 2008E) 47
Table 18: Denmark – MNOs Overview.48
Table 19: Denmark – MNOs KPIs ..48
Table 20: Denmark – MVNOs and Operators49
Table 21: Finland – Subscriber Base, Pre-paid Post-paid Split and Penetration (2005 - June 2008E) 51
Table 22: Finland – MNOs Overview.52
Table 23: Finland – MNOs KPIs ..52
Table 24: Finland – MVNOs and Operators ..52
Table 25: France – Subscriber Base, Pre-paid Post-paid Split and Penetration (2005 - June 2008E) 55
Table 26: France – MNOs Overview .56
Table 27: France – MNOs KPIs56
Table 28: France – MVNOs and Operators 57
Table 29: Germany – Subscriber Base, Pre-paid Post-paid Split and Penetration (2005 - June 2008E) 60
Table 30: Germany – MNOs Overview.61
Table 31: Germany – MNOs KPIs ..61
Table 32: Germany – MVNOs and Operators ..62
Table 33: Ireland – Subscriber Base, Pre-paid Post-paid Split and Penetration (2005 - June 2008E) 64
Table 34: Ireland – MNOs Overview..65
Table 35: Ireland – MNOs KPIs65
Table 36: Ireland – MVNOs and Operators 65
Table 37: Italy – Subscriber Base, Pre-paid Post-paid Split and Penetration (2005 - June 2008E) ..68
Table 38: Italy – MNOs Overview69
Table 39: Italy – MNOs KPIs .69
Table 40: Italy – MVNOs and Operators..69
Table 41: The Netherlands – Subscriber Base, Pre-paid Post-paid Split and Penetration (2005 - June 2008E) ..72
Table 42: The Netherlands – MNOs Overview.73
Table 43: The Netherlands – MNOs KPIs ..74
* Figure for Quarter ending March 2008..74
Table 44: The Netherlands – MVNOs and Operators75
Table 45: Norway – Subscriber Base, Pre-paid Post-paid Split and Penetration (2005 - June 2008E) 78
Table 46: Norway – MNOs Overview 79
Table 47: Norway – MNOs KPIs..79
Table 48: Norway – MVNOs and Operators ..79
Table 49: Portugal – Subscriber Base, Pre-paid Post-paid Split and Penetration (2005 - June 2008E) 82
Table 50: Portugal – MNOs Overview..83
Table 51: Portugal – MNOs KPIs 83
Table 52: Portugal – MVNOs and Operators.83
Table 53: Spain – Subscriber Base, Pre-paid Post-paid Split and Penetration (2005 - June 2008E)86
Table 54: Spain – MNOs Overview 87
Table 55: Spain – MNOs KPIs..87
Table 56: Spain – MVNOs and Operators ..88
Table 57: Sweden – Subscriber Base, Pre-paid Post-paid Split and Penetration (2005 - June 2008E) 90
Table 58: Sweden – MNOs Overview91
Table 59: Sweden – MNOs KPIs.91
Table 60: Sweden – MVNOs and Operators .92
Table 61: Switzerland – Subscriber Base, Pre-paid Post-paid Split and Penetration (2005 - June 2008E) 94
Table 62: Switzerland – MNOs Overview95
Table 63: Switzerland – MNOs KPIs .95
Table 64: Switzerland – MVNOs and Operators..95
Table 65: The UK – Subscriber Base, Pre-paid Post-paid Split and Penetration (2005 - June 2008E) 98
Table 66: The UK – MNOs Overview 99
Table 67: The UK – MNOs KPIs..99
Table 68: The UK – MVNOs and Operators 100
Table 69: Central and Eastern Europe – Mobile Subscribers and Penetration (2007 and 2008E) ..103
Table 70: Central and Eastern Europe – Mobile Subscriber Growth (In Million, 2007–2013E) .104
Table 71: Central and Eastern Europe – Top 5 Growth Markets (2007–2013E) ..104
Table 72: Belarus – Subscriber Base, Pre-paid Post-paid Split and Penetration (2005 - June 2008E) 106
Table 73: Belarus – MNOs Overview .107
Table 74: Belarus – MNOs KPIs107
Table 75: Bulgaria – Subscriber Base, Pre-paid Post-paid Split and Penetration (2005 - June 2008E) 109
Table 76: Bulgaria – MNOs Overview 110
Table 77: Bulgaria – MNOs KPIs..110
Table 78: Croatia – Subscriber Base, Pre-paid Post-paid Split and Penetration (2005 - June 2008E) 113
Table 79: Croatia – MNOs Overview..114
Table 80: Croatia – MNOs KPIs 114
Table 81: Croatia – MVNOs and Operators.115
Table 82: Czech Republic – Subscriber Base, Pre-paid Post-paid Split and Penetration (2005 - June 2008E) 117
Table 83: Czech Republic – MNOs Overview 118
Table 84: Czech Republic – MNOs KPIs..118
Table 85: Greece – Subscriber Base, Pre-paid Post-paid Split and Penetration (2005 - June 2008E) 121
Table 86: Greece – MNOs Overview..122
Table 87: Greece – MNOs KPIs 122
Table 88: Hungary – Subscriber Base, Pre-paid Post-paid Split and Penetration (2005 - June 2008E) 125
Table 89: Hungary – MNOs Overview126
Table 90: Hungary – MNOs KPIs .126
Table 91: Lithuania – Subscriber Base, Pre-paid Post-paid Split and Penetration (2005 - June 2008E) 129
Table 92: Lithuania – MNOs Overview..130
Table 93: Lithuania – MNOs KPIs 130
Table 94: Lithuania – MVNOs and Operators.130
Table 95: Poland – Subscriber Base, Pre-paid Post-paid Split and Penetration (2005 - June 2008E) 133
Table 96: Poland – MNOs Overview ..134
Table 97: Poland – MNOs KPIs.134
Table 98: Poland – MVNOs and Operators .134
Table 99: Romania – Subscriber Base, Pre-paid Post-paid Split and Penetration (2005 - June 2008E) 137
Table 100: Romania – MNOs Overview..138
Table 101: Romania – MNOs KPIs 138
Table 102: Russia – Subscriber Base, Pre-paid Post-paid Split and Penetration (2005 - June 2008E) 141
Table 103: Russia – MNOs Overview142
Table 104: Russia – MNOs KPIs.142
Table 105: Russia – MVNOs and Operators .143
Table 106: Serbia – Subscriber Base, Pre-paid Post-paid Split and Penetration (2005 - June 2008E) 145
Table 107: Serbia – MNOs Overview146
Table 108: Serbia – MNOs KPIs .146
Table 109: Slovakia – Subscriber Base, Pre-paid Post-paid Split and Penetration (2005 - June 2008E) 149
Table 110: Slovakia – MNOs Overview150
Table 111: Slovakia – MNOs KPIs .150
Table 112: Turkey – Subscriber Base, Pre-paid Post-paid Split and Penetration (2005 - June 2008E) 153
Table 113: Turkey – MNOs Overview154
Table 114: Turkey – MNOs KPIs.154
Table 115: Ukraine – Subscriber Base, Pre-paid Post-paid Split and Penetration (2005 - June 2008E) 157
Table 116: Ukraine – MNOs Overview.158
Table 117: Ukraine – MNOs KPIs ..158
Table 118: Ukraine – MVNOs and Operators158
Table 119: Asia Pacific – Mobile Subscribers and Penetration (2007 and 2008E).162
Table 120: Asia Pacific – Mobile Subscriber Growth (In Million, 2007–2013E) 163
Table 121: Asia Pacific – Top 5 Growth Markets (2007–2013E) .163
Table 122: Afghanistan – Subscriber Base, Pre-paid Post-paid Split and Penetration (2005 - June 2008E) 165
Table 123: Afghanistan – MNOs Overview.166
Table 124: Afghanistan – MNOs KPIs..166
Table 125: Australia – Subscriber Base, Pre-paid Post-paid Split and Penetration (2005 - June 2008E) 168
Table 126: Australia – MNOs Overview169
Table 127: Australia – MNOs KPIs.169
Table 128: Australia – MVNOs and Operators .169
Table 129: Bangladesh – Subscriber Base, Pre-paid Post-paid Split and Penetration (2005 - June 2008E) 172
Table 130: Bangladesh – MNOs Overview.173
Table 131: Bangladesh – MNOs KPIs..174
Table 132: China – Subscriber Base, Pre-paid Post-paid Split and Penetration (2005 - June 2008E) 176
Table 133: China – MNOs Overview.177
Table 134: China – MNOs KPIs ..177
Table 135: Hong Kong – Subscriber Base, Pre-paid Post-paid Split and Penetration (2005 - June
2008E) 179
Table 136: Hong Kong – MNOs Overview..180
Table 137: Hong Kong – MNOs KPIs180
Table 138: India – Subscriber Base, Pre-paid Post-paid Split and Penetration (2005 - June 2008E) 183
Table 139: India – MNOs Overview184
Table 140: India – MNOs KPIs .184
Table 141: Indonesia – Subscriber Base, Pre-paid Post-paid Split and Penetration (2005 - June 2008E) 187
Table 142: Indonesia – MNOs Overview.188
Table 143: Indonesia – MNOs KPIs ..188
Table 144: Japan – Subscriber Base, Pre-paid Post-paid Split and Penetration (2005 - June 2008E) 190
Table 145: Japan – MNOs Overview.191
Table 146: Japan – MNOs KPIs ..191
Table 147: Japan – MVNOs and Operators ..192
Table 148: Kazakhstan – Subscriber Base, Pre-paid Post-paid Split and Penetration (2005 - June 2008E) 194
Table 149: Kazakhstan – MNOs Overview.195
Table 150: Kazakhstan – MNOs KPIs ..195
Table 151: Malaysia – Subscriber Base, Pre-paid Post-paid Split and Penetration (2005 - June 2008E) 198
Table 152: Malaysia – MNOs Overview ..199
Table 153: Malaysia – MNOs KPIs.199
Table 154: Malaysia – MVNOs and Operators .200
Table 155: New Zealand – Subscriber Base, Pre-paid Post-paid Split and Penetration (2005 - June 2008E) 202
Table 156: New Zealand – MNOs Overview .203
Table 157: New Zealand – MNOs KPIs203
Table 158: New Zealand – MVNOs and Operators 203
Table 159: Pakistan – Subscriber Base, Pre-paid Post-paid Split and Penetration (2005 - June 2008E) 205
Table 160: Pakistan – MNOs Overview206
Table 161: Pakistan – MNOs KPIs .206
Table 162: The Philippines – Subscriber Base, Pre-paid Post-paid Split and Penetration (2005 - June 2008E) 208
Table 163: The Philippines – MNOs Overview.209
Table 164: The Philippines – MNOs KPIs ..209
Table 165: Singapore – Subscriber Base, Pre-paid Post-paid Split and Penetration (2005 - June 2008E) 212
Table 166: Singapore – MNOs Overview213
Table 167: Singapore – MNOs KPIs .213
Table 168: Singapore – MVNOs and Operators..213
Table 169: South Korea – Subscriber Base, Pre-paid Post-paid Split and Penetration (2005 - June 2008E) 216
Table 170: South Korea – MNOs Overview217
Table 171: South Korea – MNOs KPIs.217
Table 172: Taiwan – Subscriber Base, Pre-paid Post-paid Split and Penetration (2005 - June 2008E) 220
Table 173: Taiwan – MNOs Overview..221
Table 174: Taiwan – MNOs KPIs 221
Table 175: Taiwan – MVNOs and Operators.221
Table 176: Thailand – Subscriber Base, Pre-paid Post-paid Split and Penetration (2005 - June 2008E) 224
Table 177: Thailand – MNOs Overview225
Table 178: Thailand – MNOs KPIs .226
Table 179: Vietnam – Subscriber Base, Pre-paid Post-paid Split and Penetration (2005 - June 2008E) 228
Table 180: Vietnam – MNOs Overview 229
Table 181: Vietnam – MNOs KPIs..230
Table 182: North America – Mobile Subscribers and Penetration (2007 and 2008E) ..233
Table 183: North America – Mobile Subscriber Growth (In Million, 2007–2013E)..233
Table 184: Canada – Subscriber Base, Pre-paid Post-paid Split and Penetration (2005 - June 2008E) 235
Table 185: Canada – MNOs Overview.236
Table 186: Canada – MNOs KPIs ..237
Table 187: Canada – MVNOs and Operators237
Table 188: The US – Subscriber Base, Pre-paid Post-paid Split and Penetration (2005 - June 2008E) 239
Table 189: The US – MNOs Overview .240
Table 190: The US – MNOs KPIs240
Table 191: The US – MVNOs and Operators 241
Table 192: Latin America – Mobile Subscribers and Penetration (2007 and 2008E) 245
Table 193: Latin America – Mobile Subscriber Growth (In Million, 2007–2013E)246
Table 194: Latin America – Top 5 Growth Markets (2007–2013) 246
Table 195: Argentina – Subscriber Base, Pre-paid Post-paid Split and Penetration (2005 - June 2008E) 248
Table 196: Argentina – MNOs Overview.249
Table 197: Argentina – MNOs KPIs ..250
Table 198: Brazil – Subscriber Base, Pre-paid Post-paid Split and Penetration (2005 - June 2008E) 252
Table 199: Brazil – MNOs Overview..253
Table 200: Brazil – MNOs KPIs254
Table 201: Chile – Subscriber Base, Pre-paid Post-paid Split and Penetration (2005 - June 2008E) 256
Table 202: Chile – MNOs Overview ..257
Table 203: Chile – MNOs KPIs.257
Table 204: Colombia – Subscriber Base, Pre-paid Post-paid Split and Penetration (2005 - June 2008E) 259
Table 205: Colombia – MNOs Overview .260
Table 206: Colombia – MNOs KPIs260
Table 207: Jamaica – Subscriber Base, Pre-paid Post-paid Split and Penetration (2005 - June 2008E) 262
Table 208: Jamaica – MNOs Overview263
Table 209: Mexico – Subscriber Base, Pre-paid Post-paid Split and Penetration (2005 - June 2008E) 265
Table 210: Mexico – MNOs Overview..266
Table 211: Mexico – MNOs KPIs 266
Table 212: Peru – Subscriber Base, Pre-paid Post-paid Split and Penetration (2005 - June 2008E)269
Table 213: Peru – MNOs Overview270
Table 214: Peru – MNOs KPIs .270
Table 215: Venezuela – Subscriber Base, Pre-paid Post-paid Split and Penetration (2005 - June 2008E) 272
Table 216: Venezuela – MNOs Overview 273
Table 217: Venezuela – MNOs KPIs. 273
Table 218: Africa – Mobile Subscribers and Penetration (2007 and 2008E) .276
Table 219: Africa – Mobile Subscriber Growth (In Million, 2007–2013E).277
Table 220: Africa – Top 5 Growth Markets (2007–2013E) .277
Table 221: Algeria – Subscriber Base, Pre-paid Post-paid Split and Penetration (2005 - June 2008E) 279
Table 222: Algeria – MNOs Overview ..280
Table 223: Algeria – MNOs KPIs.280
Table 224: DR Congo – Subscriber Base, Pre-paid Post-paid Split and Penetration (2005 - June 2008E) 282
Table 225: DR Congo – MNOs Overview283
Table 226: DR Congo – MNOs KPIs .283
Table 227: Egypt – Subscriber Base, Pre-paid Post-paid Split and Penetration (2005 - June 2008E) 285
Table 228: Egypt – MNOs Overview .286
Table 229: Egypt – MNOs KPIs286
Table 230: Kenya – Subscriber Base, Pre-paid Post-paid Split and Penetration (2005 - June 2008E) 289
Table 231: Kenya – MNOs Overview 290
Table 232: Kenya – MNOs KPIs..290
Table 233: Morocco – Subscriber Base, Pre-paid Post-paid Split and Penetration (2005 - June 2008E) 293
Table 234: Morocco – MNOs Overview294
Table 235: Morocco – MNOs KPIs .294
Table 236: Nigeria – Subscriber Base, Pre-paid Post-paid Split and Penetration (2005 - June 2008E) 296
Table 237: Nigeria – MNOs Overview..297
Table 238: Nigeria – MNOs KPIs 297
Table 239: South Africa – Subscriber Base, Pre-paid Post-paid Split and Penetration (2005 - June 2008E) 300
Table 240: South Africa – MNOs Overview301
Table 241: South Africa – MNOs KPIs .301
Table 242: South Africa – MVNOs and Operators..302
Table 243: Sudan – Subscriber Base, Pre-paid Post-paid Split and Penetration (2005 - June 2008E) 304
Table 244: Sudan – MNOs Overview305
Table 245: Sudan – MNOs KPIs .305
Table 246: Tunisia – Subscriber Base, Pre-paid Post-paid Split and Penetration (2005 - June 2008E) 308
Table 247: Tunisia – MNOs Overview..309
Table 248: Tunisia – MNOs KPIs 309
Table 249: Middle East – Mobile Subscribers and Penetration (2007 and 2008E).312
Table 250: Middle East – Mobile Subscriber Growth (In Million, 2007–2013E) 313
Table 251: Middle East – Top 5 Growth Markets (2007–2013E).313
Table 252: Iran – Subscriber Base, Pre-paid Post-paid Split and Penetration (2005 - June 2008E).315
Table 253: Iran – MNOs Overview .316
Table 254: Iran – MNOs KPIs316
Table 255: Iraq – Subscriber Base, Pre-paid Post-paid Split and Penetration (2005 - June 2008E).318
Table 256: Iraq – MNOs Overview .319
Table 257: Iraq – MNOs KPIs 319
Table 258: Israel – Subscriber Base, Pre-paid Post-paid Split and Penetration (2005 - June 2008E) 322
Table 259: Israel – MNOs Overview..323
Table 260: Israel – MNOs KPIs 324
Table 261: Jordan – Subscriber Base, Pre-paid Post-paid Split and Penetration (2005 - June 2008E) 326
Table 262: Jordan – MNOs Overview327
Table 263: Jordan – MNOs KPIs.327
Table 264: Saudi Arabia – Subscriber Base, Pre-paid Post-paid Split and Penetration (2005 - June 2008E) 329
Table 265: Saudi Arabia – MNOs Overview..330
Table 266: Saudi Arabia – MNOs KPIs 330
Table 267: Syria – Subscriber Base, Pre-paid Post-paid Split and Penetration (2005 - June 2008E) 333
Table 268: Syria – MNOs Overview ..334
Table 269: Syria – MNOs KPIs.334
Table 270: UAE – Subscriber Base, Pre-paid Post-paid Split and Penetration (2005 - June 2008E)336
Table 271: UAE – MNOs Overview337
Table 272: UAE – MNOs KPIs .337
Table 273: Worldwide—Top 20 markets by Mobile Penetration (June 2008E) 340
Table 274: Worldwide—Top 10 countries by percentage of pre-paid subscribers (June 2008E) 341
Table 275: Worldwide—Top 10 countries by percentage of post-paid subscribers (June 2008E)..341
Table 276: Worldwide—Top 20 MNOs by Subscribers (June 2008E)..342
Table 277: Worldwide—Top 10 MNOs by ARPU (In USD, 2007) ..343
Table 278: .343 3G Subscribers (In Million, 2006-2013E)

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