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Market Study
Published: July 2008
Pages: For full details, please email keithw@cmsinfo.com
Tables: For full details, please email keithw@cmsinfo.com
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Research from: Informa Telecoms and Media
Sector: Networks & Infrastructure

Worldwide Market Analysis, Strategic Outlook & Forecasts

Operators are seeking new business opportunities while trying to control CAPEX and OPEX costs. Femtocell solutions could enable better traffic balancing between fixed and mobile networks which likely to lead to significant savings in RAN while enabling operators to enhance the user experience of their subscribers by offering better coverage and increased capacity in the home environment.

This report will allow you to assess the technical and strategic challenges facing this market and evaluate the most successful technology and implementations to develop your business strategies effectively.

Key Coverage
< Mobile broadband networks and coverage issues mainly at home
< Traffic dimensioning between fixed and mobile networks
< Femtocell solutions for enabling value added services
< CAPEX and OPEX analysis
< Femtocell solutions, technology issues and challenges

Forecasts
< Femtocell device shipments ( stand alone vs integrated)
< Femtocell subscribers (users)
< Femtocell price evolution
< Traffic across Macrocell vs. traffic across femtocell
< RAN CAPEX and OPEX breakdown
< Femtocell implementation scenario
< Femtocell-free implementation scenario
< Cost savings analysis and forecasts
< UMA subs/ FMC Subs
< Dual-mode vs Femtocell deployment

Key Issues Addressed
< What is the business case for homezone approach including femtocell and dual mode solutions?
< What is the value proposition to consumers and how mobile operators are likely to package the homezone offer with other services?
< What is the roadmap for standardisation processes
< Femtocell solutions: the integrated approach vs the standalone; who are the winners?
< What is the level of engagement of different players in the value chain including hybrid operators, pure mobile operators, fixed operators, equipment manufacturers, and device vendors
< What level of saving of CAPEX/OPEX should expect and in what conditions?
< Femtocell solutions, what implementation scenario is likely to win the heart of mobile operators

Countries / Sectors / Companies Covered
Infrastructure vendors
< NSN, Ericsson, AlcaLu, Motorola, ZTE, Airvana, NEC, SERCOM, Sonus Networks
Femtocell device vendors
< IP Access, Ubiquisys, Aricent, Continuous Computing, RadioFrame, Motorola, LGC, Pirelli, Genband, Kineto Wireless, Sagem, Nokia, Sagem, Tatara systems, UTStarcom, NEC
Operators
< T-Mobile, O2, Orange, Sprint-Nextel, NTT DoCoMo, TeliaSonera, Softbank, TIM, Vodafone, Mobilekom Austria, BHARTI, BT, Bouygues Telecom, and others (Orascom, PCCW, Rogers Wireless, Sasktel, Unwired)

Who should read this report
Mobile operators and mobile service providers:
< Evaluate the business case for FMC, mobile access at home including savings in traffic costs, increased ARPU through VAS services, OPEX and CAPEX optimisation, etc

Fixed operators and fixed service providers:
< understand the opportunities and challenges in the mobile market

Vendors (ODMs, OEMs, etc):
< Understand the economics of Femtocell, UMA and VCC deployment, evaluate opportunities including product differentiation and potential service offerings. Assess the technical and strategic challenges facing this market, assess the most successful technology and implementations, and build their strategies accordingly.

New entrants and start-ups:
< position yourself in the new value–chain fine-tuning your products and services to the Mobile access at home market.

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Table of Contents

Chapter 1: Executive Summary
Chapter 2: Mobile Market overview and opportunities for convergent networks
(Overview chapter)
1. Cellular networks evolution
2. Wireless and wired networks evolution
a. The bandwidth dilemma
b. Coverage issues
c. Network ubiquity
3. Bundle of services, the mobile supermarket model, Blended services
4. FMC the current state of the market
5. FMS and its strategic importance
a. Analysis of the Early Homezone model
b. Next generation mobile access at home: Homezone 2.0
6. The significance of mobile data
a. The web 2.0 phenomena
b. Changes in pricing models
c. User experience and its effect on data usage
Chapter 3: Femtocell implementations, opportunities and challenges
(Technology chapter)
1. Femtocell Core Network connectivity options
a. The Iub over IP
b. Iu over IP and RAN gateways
i. Proprietary approach
ii. The UMA case
c. The SIP model
2. Femtocell standardisation issues
3. Femtocell devices
a. From discrete components to integrated platforms
b. BOM and pricing evolution
4. Femtocell ecosystem and the level of support from infrastructure vendors
5. Femtocell device manufacturers and their role in the value chain
6. Femtocell implementation issues
a. Radio resource management
b. Scalability
c. Plug & Play: myth or reality?
d. Femtocell network management
e. The end user resistance and concerns
7. Femtocell solutions: Integrated approach versus standalone approach
8. Femtocell solutions: Open access versus closed access
Chapter 4: Alternative technologies
(Technology chapter)
1. UMA implementations
2. IMS VCC implementations
3. SIP implementations
4. Dualmode devices vs Femtocells
5. Opportunities & Challenges for FMC technologies
6. Potential business models and enabled services
Chapter 5: Operator business case for convergent networks
(Business chapter)
1. The proposition to consumers
a. The coverage dilemma and user experience
b. The business case for voice
c. The business case for data and value added services
2. The possibilities of traffic load balancing in data-hungry areas
3. Low cost coverage extension
4. Effect on CAPEX
5. Effect on OPEX
6. How can convergent networks help mobile operators to transform from bit pipes
to service providers
Chapter 6: Traffic load balancing and the role of FMC in lowering the traffic cost
(forecasts chapter)
1. FMC and supported services by FMC technology
2. Wireless value added services
3. Traffic over FMC networks (traffic initiated by a mobile handset but using fixed
network, through femtocell, UMA or other)
4. Cost savings from FMC traffic load balancing
5. Traffic cost savings vs CAPEX/OPEX
Chapter 7: Subs and FMC service Revenues, FMC CAPEX/OPEX forecasts
(Forecasts chapter)
Chapter 8: Operators and vendors strategies and implementation scenarios
(Case studies chapter)
1. Infrastructure vendors
NSN, Ericsson, AlcaLu, Motorola, ZTE, Airvana, NEC, SERCOM, Sonus
Networks
2. Femtocell device vendors
IP Access, Ubiquisys, Aricent, Continuous Computing, RadioFrame,
Motorola, LGC, Pirelli, Genband, Kineto Wireless, Sagem, Nokia,
Sagem, Tatara systems, UTStarcom, NEC
3. Operators
T-Mobile, O2, Orange, Sprint-Nextel, NTT DoCoMo, TeliaSonera,
Softbank, TIM, Vodafone, Mobilekom Austria, BHARTI, BT, Bouygues
Telecom, and others (Orascom, PCCW, Rogers Wireless, Sasktel,
Unwired)
Chapter 9: Future outlook
(Future technologies chapter)
1. Femtocell roaming
2. Femtocell standardization issues
3. FMC technologies, standardization issues and initiatives
a. Support of 3GPP standards (from GSM to HSPA and LTE)
b. Support of 3GPP2 standards (from CDMA2000to UMB)
c. support of IEEE standards (Femtocell in the context in the WiMAX play)
d. Femtocells in the context of different mobile broadcasting technologies
e. The role GSMA
f. The role Femto Forum
4. Regulatory aspects
a. Network neutrality
b. Volume based charging model
c. Femtocell: NodeB equipment or CPE device?
d. Enabling third party services over FMC infrastructure
5. New standards
a. 802.11r, 802.21, OFDM and WiMAX/LTE/UMB convergence
6. Opportunities in the enterprise market and enabling technologies
*Contents correct at time of printing

For full details, please email keithw@cmsinfo.com

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