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Home > Market Research > Media & Entertainment > IPTV Global Forecast 2007 to 2011
This latest forecast is an update to the IPTV Global Forecast – 2006 to 2010 published October 2006. It incorporates the most recent information on IPTV deployments, including: -The current and planned deployments of IPTV services by large carriers in Europe. -The current and planned IPTV deployments by competitive and smaller carriers in Europe. -The current state of IPTV deployments at AT&T, and Verizon in the U.S. -The initiation of IPTV trials in China and India. -The success of a number of early IPTV deployments in Canada, Europe, and Asia.
We are forecasting that the number of DSL subscribers will grow from 218 million in 2007 to 353 million in 2011, a compounded annual growth rate of 13 percent. These DSL subscribers are the base for the IPTV subscribers shown in Figure 1-1.
The number of global IPTV subscribers will grow from 14.3 million in 2007 to 63.6 million in 2011, a compound annual growth rate of 45 percent.
Europe remains the leading region, and its subscriber numbers have increased versus the October 2006 forecast. Asia's prospects have continuted to improve, as tests in China and India have blossomed into successful deployments. We believe that Asian and European subscriber numbers will steadily grow closer over the period of this forecast.
The global IPTV service revenue forecast is $3.6 billion in 2007 growing to $20.3 billion in 2011, a compound annual growth rate of 71 percent. Although Asia and Europe are increasingly close in the number of subscribers, Europe and North America are generating a disproportionate amount of revenue, due to lower average prices in Asia.
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Table of Contents
1 Executive Summary
2 Global Outlook for IPTV 2.1 Europe Continuing to Move Forward 2.1.1 France Leads the World 2.1.2 Italian Market Shaken by FASTWEB Acquisition 2.1.3 Benelux Countries 2.1.4 IPTV Gets a Foothold in Germany and the UK 2.1.5 Other Western European Countries 2.1.6 IPTV Progressing in Eastern Europe 2.2 Japan Taiwan, and Hong Kong Driving Asia 2.2.1 IPTV Will Dominate in Hong Kong 2.2.2 Taiwan Starting to Move Forward 2.2.3 Japan Seeing Real Growth 2.2.4 Korea Moving From Test to Deployments 2.2.5 China: Moving Quickly to Deployments 2.2.6 IPTV Still Nascent in India 2.2.7 Activities in Other Asian Countries 2.3 The Major U.S. Incumbents Pushing IPTV 2.3.1 Large U.S. Incumbents are Starting IPTV Activities 2.3.2 Canadian Telcos Adopting IPTV 2.3.3 Small U.S. Independent Telcos Continuing their Advance 2.4 IPTV Emerging in the Rest of the World
3 Global IPTV Market Forecast 3.1 Methodology 3.1.1 DSL Forecast 3.1.2 IPTV Subscribers and Revenue 3.1.3 Access System Revenue 3.1.4 Video Headend System Revenue 3.1.5 Video-On-Demand Servers 3.1.6 Set-top Box Revenue 3.1.7 Middleware Software Revenue 3.1.8 Content Protection/Digital Rights Management Software Revenue 3.1.9 System Integration and Professional Services Revenue 3.2 Global Forecast Shows Strong Growth 3.2.1 Global DSL Forecast Shows a Significant Increase 3.2.2 IPTV Subscriber Forecast Remains Firm 3.2.3 Global System Revenue Forecast 3.2.4 Global Access System Revenue Forecast 3.2.5 Global Set-top Box Revenue Forecast 3.2.6 Global IPTV Headend Revenue Forecast 3.2.7 Global IP Video-On-Demand Revenue Forecast 3.2.8 Global IPTV Middleware Revenue Forecast 3.2.9 Global IPTV Content Protection Revenue Forecast 3.2.10 Global IPTV System Integration Revenue Forecast 3.3 IPTV Market Forecast for Europe 3.3.1 DSL Subscriber Forecast for Europe 3.3.2 IPTV Subscriber Forecast for Europe 3.3.3 IPTV System Revenue for Europe 3.4 IPTV Market Forecast for Asia 3.4.1 DSL Subscriber Forecast for Asia 3.4.2 IPTV Subscriber Forecast for Asia 3.4.3 IPTV System Revenue for Asia 3.5 IPTV Market Forecast for North America 3.5.1 DSL Subscribers for North America 3.5.2 IPTV Subscriber Forecast for North America 3.5.3 IPTV System Revenue for North America 3.6 IPTV Market Forecast for the Rest of the World 3.6.1 DSL Subscriber Forecast for the Rest of the World 3.6.2 IPTV Subscriber Forecast for the Rest of the World 3.6.3 IPTV System Revenue for the Rest of the World
4 Opportunities, Risks, and Recommendations 4.1 Opportunities 4.2 Risks 4.3 Recommendations
5 Index of Companies
Table of Figures Figure 1-1: Global IPTV Subscriber Forecast Figure 1-2: Global IPTV Service Revenue Forecast Figure 1-3: Global IPTV System Revenue Forecast Figure 3-1: Global DSL Subscriber Forecast Figure 3-2: Global IPTV Subscriber Forecast Figure 3-3: Global IPTV Service Revenue Forecast Figure 3-4: Global IPTV System Revenue Forecast Figure 3-5: Global IPTV Access System Revenue Forecast Figure 3-6: Global IPTV Set-top Box Revenue Forecast Figure 3-7: Global Forecast for IPTV Set-top Boxes by Technology Figure 3-8: Global IPTV Video Headend Revenue Figure 3-9: Global IPTV Video Headend Revenue by Technology Figure 3-10: Global IPTV Video-On-Demand Server Revenue Figure 3-11: Global IPTV Middleware Revenue Forecast Figure 3-12: Global IPTV Content Protection Forecast Figure 3-13: Global System Integration and Professional Services Revenue Figure 3-14: DSL Subscriber Forecast for Europe Figure 3-15: IPTV Subscriber Forecast for Europe Figure 3-16: IPTV Subscriber Revenue Forecast for Europe Figure 3-17: IPTV System Revenue Forecast for Europe Figure 3-18: DSL Subscriber Market for Asia Figure 3-19: IPTV Subscriber Forecast for Asia Figure 3-20: IPTV Subscriber Revenue for Asia Figure 3-21: IPTV System Revenue for Asia Figure 3-22: DSL Subscribers Forecast for North America Figure 3-23: IPTV Subscriber Forecast for North America Figure 3-24: IPTV Subscriber Revenue Forecast for North America Figure 3-25: IPTV System Revenue for North America Figure 3-26: DSL Subscriber Forecast for the Rest of the World Figure 3-27: IPTV Subscriber Forecast for the Rest of the World Figure 3-28: IPTV System Revenue for the Rest of the World
Table of Tables Table 2-1: Count of Service Providers Used for this Report Table 3-1: IPTV Service Subscriber Monthly Pricing Assumptions Table 3-2: IPTV Access System Per Port Pricing Assumptions Table 3-3: IPTV Video System Per Encoder Pricing Assumptions Table 3-4: Video-On-Demand Per Stream Pricing Assumptions Table 3-5: Set-top Box Pricing Assumptions Table 3-6: Set-top Boxes Per Home Table 3-7: Middleware Pricing Assumptions Table 3-8: Content Protection/Digital Rights Management Price Per Subscriber Table 3-9: System Integration/Professional Services Rates Table 3-10: Leading Service Providers Globally Table 3-11: Global Service Provider IPTV System Spending: 2007-2011 Table 3-12: Leading Service Providers in Europe Table 3-13: Service Provider IPTV System Spending in Europe: 2007-2011 Table 3-14: Leading Service Providers in Asia Table 3-15: Service Provider IPTV System Spending in Asia: 2007-2011 Table 3-16: Leading Service Providers in North America Table 3-17: Service Provider IPTV System Spending in North America: 2007-2011
For full details, please email emmap@cmsinfo.com
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