Home > Market Research > Networks & Infrastructure > The Peru Telecommunications Report 2008

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Research from: Business Monitor International
Sector: Networks & Infrastructure

This Report has been researched at source and features latest-available data covering all headline indicators; 5-year industry forecasts through end-2012; company rankings and competitive landscapes covering leading multinational handset manufacturers and equipment vendors, domestic fixed-line and mobile operators, and analysis of latest industry news, trends and regulatory developments.

Independent 5-year telecommunications forecast.

Original telecommunications market research and telecommunications sector trend analysis for the national telecommunications industry.

Competitive intelligence, regional telecommunications company rankings and SWOT analyses on international and domestic telecommunications companies.

The Report provides industry professionals and researchers, operators, equipment suppliers and vendors, corporate and financial services analysts and regulatory bodies with independent forecasts and competitive intelligence on the national telecommunications industry.

" The Asia Telecommunications Report is used for benchmarking industry views against BMI's independent forecasts; for market research and analysis of industry trends. It also provides competitive intelligence on leading companies. "
Chi-Wen Tsai, Managing Director, ROHDE & SCHWARZ Taiwan Ltd

Key Benefits of Report

-Benchmark BMI's Independent 5-Year Telecommunications Industry Forecast to test other views - a key input for successful budgeting and strategic business planning in the national telecommunications market.
-Target Business Opportunities & Risks in the Telecommunications Sector through our reviews of latest industry trends, regulatory changes, and major deals, projects and investments.
-Exploit Latest Competitive Telecommunications Intelligence & company SWOTS on your competitors and peers through company rankings by sales, market share, investments and leading products and services.

Executive Summary
Summary of BMI's key industry forecasts and trend analysis, covering ICT, fixed-line, mobile and internet markets, and headline news of key industry events from the latest quarter.

Market Overview
At-a-glance outlook of the structure, size and value of the industry, including an overview of key players and a snapshot of regional penetration rates for fixed-line, mobile and internet markets.

Business Environment Rankings
BMI provides a cross-border analysis of telecoms regulatory systems across regional markets, and their investor prospects, discussing the merits and downfalls of each country’s business environment, and ranking them in order of competitiveness. The rankings take into account industry factors, such as Market Maturity, Growth Potential, Competitive Environment and Licensing Framework in addition to BMI’s political and economic risk ratings.

BMI 5-Year Industry Forecast
Historic data series and 5-year forecasts to end-2012 for all key industry indicators (see list below), supported by explicit assumptions, plus analysis of key downside risks to the main forecast.

Fixed-Line Telephony - Telephone Lines ('000); Telephone Lines/100 Inhabitants;
Cellular Telephony - Phone Subscribers ('000); Mobile Phone Subscribers/ 100 Inhabitants; Mobile Phone Subscribers/100 Fixed Line Subscribers;
Internet Markets - Internet Users ('000); Internet Users/100 Inhabitants; Broadband Internet Subscribers ('000); Broadband Internet Subscribers/100 Inhabitants;
Multimedia Markets - PCs ('000); PCs/100 Inhabitants; TV households ('000s); Pay-TV subscribers ('000s); Pay-TV subscribers/100 inhabitants; Cable TV subscribers ('000s); Direct-to-Home Subscribers ('000s)
BMI 5-Year Macroeconomic Forecast
BMI forecasts for all headline macroeconomic indicators, including real GDP growth, inflation, fiscal balance, trade balance, current account and external debt.

Competitive Landscape & Rankings
Commentary on key operators highlighting ownership structures, latest available revenue figures, market share analysis and ARPU counts.

Company Profiles & SWOTS
Company profiles, including SWOT (strengths, weaknesses, opportunities and threats) analyses, fully researched senior executives and contact details, business activity, leading products and services, and a record of all recent foreign direct investments and projects.

The Sector At A Glance

Key Insights On The Telecomunications Sector of Peru

Peru's mobile market is underdeveloped and immature in comparison with most other countries in Latin America. Both subscriber numbers and penetration rates are now rising sharply and the gulf between it and the other countries in the region analysed by BMI is narrowing, but we believe the gap is too wide to be bridged in the short term and Peru must continue to languish at the bottom of the pile. The country is also way behind its regional peers in terms of value-added service development – let alone 3G deployment – and operators continue to rely on lower revenue-generating services to drive subscriber growth as they continue to roll out services to underserved rural areas.

However, it is now one of the fastest growing mobile markets in the region, with subscriber growth of 57.5% in 2006 the fastest since services were first introduced in the late 1990s. This trend looks set to continue in 2007, with the number of net additions in Q107 more than doubling over Q106. The market grew by 61.3% y-o-y and 12.0% q-o-q in Q107, compared with rates of 39.3% and 9.1%, respectively, for the same period in 2006. Penetration had reached 34.1% by Q107 with over 9.8mn subscribers, just over 1mn of which were added in Q1 alone.

Second-ranked Claro has said it expects mobile penetration will double between 2006 and 2008, to around 60%, an indication that the company has no short-term plans to reverse the prepaid focus. Although BMI feels this is overly ambitious, we have raised forecasts for 2007-9 in light of the stronger than expected Q107 growth, although we continue to believe penetration will be no higher than 89% by 2011. We now expect penetration will hit 45% at YE07, rising to 57-58% at YE08, above our earlier expectations of 55%. Growth rates will slow but will continue to be significantly above average for the region.

Competitive Landscape for Latin America Telecommunications Reports: Sample of Companies Ranked

Commentary on key operators highlighting ownership structures, latest available revenue figures, market share analysis and ARPU counts. BMI forecasts for all headline macroeconomic indicators, including real GDP growth, inflation, fiscal balance, trade balance, current account and external debt. Company SWOTS Covering all leading telecommunications operators and manufacturers operating in each market, including competitive intelligence on geographic presence and competitive positioning against local companies; local market share; leading products, services and technologies; foreign direct investments, projects, merger and acquisition strategies.

* Alcatel Lucent
* America Móvil
* Avantel
* Axtel
* Globacom
* Brasilcell
* Brasil Telecom
* CANTV
* Claro
* Colombia Telecomunicaciones
* Comcel
* CTI Móvil
* Embratel
* Entel
* Ericsson
* Impsat
* Iusacell
* Motorala
* Nextel
* Nokia
* Nortel Networks
* Siemens
* TASA
* Telcel
* Telecom Argentina
* Telecom Italia
* TELESP
* Telmex
* TIM Brasil
* Unifon
* VTR GlobalCom

Network of Latin American Telecommunications Sources

BMI's Latin American Telecommunications Reports are based on an extensive network of multilateral organisations, government departments, telecommunications industry associations, chambers of commerce and company reports. Information sources include:

* Agência Nacional de Telecomunicações (ANATEL), Brazil
* Asociación Argentina de Televisión por Cable (ATVC), Argentina
* Asociación Chilena de Empresas de Tecnología de Información (ACTI), Chile
* Associação Brasileira da Indústria Elétrica e Eletrônica (ABINEE), Brazil
* Brasil Telecom
* Cámara Nacional de la Industria de Televisión por Cable (CANITEC), Mexico
* Colombia Telecomunicaciones
* Comisión de Regulación de Telecomunicaciones (CRT), Colombia
* Comisión Federal de Telecomunicaciones (Cofetel), Mexico
* Comisión Nacional de Comunicaciones (CNC), Argentina
* Comisión Nacional de Telecomunicaciones (Conatel), Venezuela
* Compañía Anónima de Teléfonos de Venezuela (CANTV)
* Entel, Chile
* Ericsson
* International Telecommunications Union, (ITU)
* Nokia
* Organismo Supervisor de la Inversión Privada en Telecomunicaciones (OSIPTEL), Peru
* Subsecretaría de Telecomunicaciones (Subtel), Chile
* Telecom Argentina
* America Movil, Mexico
* Telefónica del Peru

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Table of Contents

Chapter 1 - Executive Summary
Chapter 2 - Business Environment
Latin America

Peru

Peru Telecoms SWOT Analysis

Chapter 3 - Industry Forecast Scenario
Fixed-Line

Table: Peruvian Telecoms Sector – Fixed-Line – Historical Data & Forecasts

Internet

Table: Peruvian Telecoms Sector – Internet – Historical Data & Forecasts

Mobile

Table: Peruvian Telecoms Sector – Cellular – Historical Data & Forecasts

Chapter 4 - Macroeconomic Climate
Stellar Performance

Table: Economic Activity Indicators

Chapter 5 - Competitive Landscape
Market Structure

Competitor Analysis

Table: Key Players: Peru Telecoms Sector

Table: Selected Operator Financial Parameters

Key Players

Fixed-line

Table: Regional Fixed-Line Penetration Overview

Internet

Table: Regional Internet Penetration Overview

Table: Regional Broadband Penetration Overview

Mobile

Table: Regional Mobile Penetration Overview

Market Data

Fixed-Line

Table: Peruvian Fixed-Line Market, Q206

Internet

Mobile

Table: Peru Wireless Market, Net Additions, 2005-06

Table: Peruvian Mobile Market, Q206

Chapter 6 - Industry Developments
Company Profiles

Teléfonica del Perú

Teléfonica Móviles Perú (Movistar)

América Móvil Perú (Claro)

Nextel Peru

Chapter 7 - BMI Forecast Modelling
How we generate our industry forecasts

Telecommunications Industry

Sources

Chapter 8 - Appendix: Regional Demographic Data
Wages (ave per annum), US$

Population

Household Spending Per Capita, US$

Private Consumption Per Capita, US$ PPP

Market Size, GDP, US$bn

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