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Research from: telecomsmarketresearch
Sector: Networks & Infrastructure

This Report has been researched at source and features latest-available data covering all headline indicators; 5-year industry forecasts through end-2012; company rankings and competitive landscapes covering leading multinational handset manufacturers and equipment vendors, domestic fixed-line and mobile operators, and analysis of latest industry news, trends and regulatory developments. Independent 5-year telecommunications forecast.

Original telecommunications market research and telecommunications sector trend analysis for the national telecommunications industry.

Competitive intelligence, regional telecommunications company rankings and SWOT analyses on international and domestic telecommunications companies.

The Report provides industry professionals and researchers, operators, equipment suppliers and vendors, corporate and financial services analysts and regulatory bodies with independent forecasts and competitive intelligence on the national telecommunications industry.

" The Asia Telecommunications Report is used for benchmarking industry views against BMI's independent forecasts; for market research and analysis of industry trends. It also provides competitive intelligence on leading companies. "
Chi-Wen Tsai, Managing Director, ROHDE & SCHWARZ Taiwan Ltd

Key Benefits of Report

-Benchmark BMI's Independent 5-Year Telecommunications Industry Forecast to test other views - a key input for successful budgeting and strategic business planning in the national telecommunications market.
-Target Business Opportunities & Risks in the Telecommunications Sector through our reviews of latest industry trends, regulatory changes, and major deals, projects and investments.
-Exploit Latest Competitive Telecommunications Intelligence & company SWOTS on your competitors and peers through company rankings by sales, market share, investments and leading products and services.

Executive Summary
Summary of BMI's key industry forecasts and trend analysis, covering ICT, fixed-line, mobile and internet markets, and headline news of key industry events from the latest quarter.

Market Overview
At-a-glance outlook of the structure, size and value of the industry, including an overview of key players and a snapshot of regional penetration rates for fixed-line, mobile and internet markets.

Business Environment Rankings
BMI provides a cross-border analysis of telecoms regulatory systems across regional markets, and their investor prospects, discussing the merits and downfalls of each country’s business environment, and ranking them in order of competitiveness. The rankings take into account industry factors, such as Market Maturity, Growth Potential, Competitive Environment and Licensing Framework in addition to BMI’s political and economic risk ratings.

BMI 5-Year Industry Forecast
Historic data series and 5-year forecasts to end-2012 for all key industry indicators (see list below), supported by explicit assumptions, plus analysis of key downside risks to the main forecast.

Fixed-Line Telephony - Telephone Lines ('000); Telephone Lines/100 Inhabitants;
Cellular Telephony - Phone Subscribers ('000); Mobile Phone Subscribers/ 100 Inhabitants; Mobile Phone Subscribers/100 Fixed Line Subscribers;
Internet Markets - Internet Users ('000); Internet Users/100 Inhabitants; Broadband Internet Subscribers ('000); Broadband Internet Subscribers/100 Inhabitants;
Multimedia Markets - PCs ('000); PCs/100 Inhabitants; TV households ('000s); Pay-TV subscribers ('000s); Pay-TV subscribers/100 inhabitants; Cable TV subscribers ('000s); Direct-to-Home Subscribers ('000s)
BMI 5-Year Macroeconomic Forecast
BMI forecasts for all headline macroeconomic indicators, including real GDP growth, inflation, fiscal balance, trade balance, current account and external debt.

Competitive Landscape & Rankings
Commentary on key operators highlighting ownership structures, latest available revenue figures, market share analysis and ARPU counts.

Company Profiles & SWOTS
Company profiles, including SWOT (strengths, weaknesses, opportunities and threats) analyses, fully researched senior executives and contact details, business activity, leading products and services, and a record of all recent foreign direct investments and projects.

The Sector At A Glance

Key Insights On The Telecomunications Sector of North Africa

Strong growth continues in the mobile markets of North Africa. In Algeria, Q107 figures from market leader Djezzy reveal a subscriber base of almost 11.3mn, up by 41% y-o-y. Similar growth was exhibited at Mobilis, while third-raked Nedjma hs more than doubled its subscriber base to more than 3mn in the past year. While Algeria's growth in 2007 is unlikely to reach the dizzy heights of 2005, when subscriber numbers grew by nearly 180%, the market is likely to run in another solid performance, with BMI forecasting growth of around 40%. This is good news for potential investors, who are queuing up to acquire a stake in Mobilis' parent company and fixed-line incumbent Algerie Telecom, should its partial privatisation finally go ahead later this year. If local news reports are to be believed, as many as 45 companies are interested in bidding for the stake, including European and Middle Eastern giants such as Etisalat and France Telecom.

In Morocco, Q107 saw another consistent period of growth, with total mobile subscriber numbers up by 7.2% to just over 17mn at the end of March. Second-ranked Meditel continues to nibble at the market share of leader Maroc Telecom, with the former accounting for 41.8% of net additions during the quarter. However, news in the Moroccan market in the last few months has been all about internet services. In the fixed-line sector, Maroc Telecom announced the completion of an undersea fibre optic cable, linking Morocco with the south of France. The cable will significantly increase the operator's international bandwidth, allowing faster broadband speeds and supporting a greater variety of internetbased services. In the mobile sector, the operator is investing in a 3G network, awarding a contract to China's Huawei Technologies in March 2007. Meanwhile, competitor Meditel is one step ahead, launching HSDPA services in April. However, these are currently only available to computer users in the shape of data cards and BMI does not expect 3G to have a significant impact on the mobile market for the foreseeable future.

Given the already mature state of its market, growth in Tunisia's mobile market lags behind its regional peers. However, the country still has considerable room for growth, while its fixed-line market is currently being held back by a lack of liberalisation. This looks set to change later this year, as the government is reportedly preparing to tender a second national fixed-line licence, which would end Tunisie Telecom's monopoly.

With such investment opportunities available, it is no surprise that Algeria and Morocco feature highly in our regional business environment rankings for Africa, with both countries in joint seventh place. Tunisia lags behind in 14th place, although this is due in large part to the lower growth opportunities afforded by its small population, as well as the continued state control over Tunisie Telecom. Competitive Landscape for Middle East & Africa Telecommunications Reports: Sample of Companies Ranked

Commentary on key operators highlighting ownership structures, latest available revenue figures, market share analysis and ARPU counts. BMI forecasts for all headline macroeconomic indicators, including real GDP growth, inflation, fiscal balance, trade balance, current account and external debt. Company SWOTS Covering all leading telecommunications operators and manufacturers operating in each market, including competitive intelligence on geographic presence and competitive positioning against local companies; local market share; leading products, services and technologies; foreign direct investments, projects, merger and acquisition strategies.

* Alcatel Lucent
* Batelco
* Emirates Telecommunications Corporation (Etisalat)
* Globacom
* Kuwait Telecom
* Mobile Telephone Networks (MTN)
* Mobinil
* MTC-Vodafone
* Nawras Telecom
* Nitel
* Omantel
* Saudi Telecommunications Company (STC)
* Siemens
* Telecom Egypt
* Telecommunications Company of Iran (TCI)
* Telsim
* Turkcell
* Turk Telekom
* V-Mobile
* Vodafone Egypt
* Wataniya

Network of Middle Eastern and African Telecommunications Sources

BMI's Middle Eastern and African Telecommunications Reports are based on an extensive network of multilateral organisations, government departments, telecommunications industry associations, chambers of commerce and company reports. Information sources include:

* Central Bank of Yemen
* Etisalat, UAE
* Globacom, Nigeria
* Independent Communications Authority of South Africa (ICASA)
* International Telecommunications Union (ITU)
* Ministry of Communications (MoC), Kuwait
* MobiNil, Egypt
* National Telecommunications Regulatory Authority (NTRA), Egypt
* Nigerian Communications Commission, Nigeria
* Omantel, Oman
* Orascom Telecom, Egypt
* Bahrain Telecommunications Company (Batelco)
* Saudi Telecom
* Telecommunications Company of Iran (TCI)
* Telecommunications Regulatory Authority (TRA), Bahrain
* Telecommunications Regulatory Authority (TRA), Oman
* Telekomünikasyon Kurumu, Turkey
* Telkom, South Africa
* Turkcell, Turkey

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