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Research from: Business Monitor International
Sector: Networks & Infrastructure

This Report has been researched at source and features latest-available data covering all headline indicators; 5-year industry forecasts through end-2012; company rankings and competitive landscapes covering leading multinational handset manufacturers and equipment vendors, domestic fixed-line and mobile operators, and analysis of latest industry news, trends and regulatory developments.

Independent 5-year telecommunications forecast.

Original telecommunications market research and telecommunications sector trend analysis for the national telecommunications industry.

Competitive intelligence, regional telecommunications company rankings and SWOT analyses on international and domestic telecommunications companies.

The Report provides industry professionals and researchers, operators, equipment suppliers and vendors, corporate and financial services analysts and regulatory bodies with independent forecasts and competitive intelligence on the national telecommunications industry.

" The Asia Telecommunications Report is used for benchmarking industry views against BMI's independent forecasts; for market research and analysis of industry trends. It also provides competitive intelligence on leading companies. "
Chi-Wen Tsai, Managing Director, ROHDE & SCHWARZ Taiwan Ltd

Key Benefits of Report

-Benchmark BMI's Independent 5-Year Telecommunications Industry Forecast to test other views - a key input for successful budgeting and strategic business planning in the national telecommunications market.
-Target Business Opportunities & Risks in the Telecommunications Sector through our reviews of latest industry trends, regulatory changes, and major deals, projects and investments.
-Exploit Latest Competitive Telecommunications Intelligence & company SWOTS on your competitors and peers through company rankings by sales, market share, investments and leading products and services.

Executive Summary
Summary of BMI's key industry forecasts and trend analysis, covering ICT, fixed-line, mobile and internet markets, and headline news of key industry events from the latest quarter.

Market Overview
At-a-glance outlook of the structure, size and value of the industry, including an overview of key players and a snapshot of regional penetration rates for fixed-line, mobile and internet markets.

Business Environment Rankings
BMI provides a cross-border analysis of telecoms regulatory systems across regional markets, and their investor prospects, discussing the merits and downfalls of each country’s business environment, and ranking them in order of competitiveness. The rankings take into account industry factors, such as Market Maturity, Growth Potential, Competitive Environment and Licensing Framework in addition to BMI’s political and economic risk ratings.

BMI 5-Year Industry Forecast
Historic data series and 5-year forecasts to end-2012 for all key industry indicators (see list below), supported by explicit assumptions, plus analysis of key downside risks to the main forecast.

Fixed-Line Telephony - Telephone Lines ('000); Telephone Lines/100 Inhabitants;
Cellular Telephony - Phone Subscribers ('000); Mobile Phone Subscribers/ 100 Inhabitants; Mobile Phone Subscribers/100 Fixed Line Subscribers;
Internet Markets - Internet Users ('000); Internet Users/100 Inhabitants; Broadband Internet Subscribers ('000); Broadband Internet Subscribers/100 Inhabitants;
Multimedia Markets - PCs ('000); PCs/100 Inhabitants; TV households ('000s); Pay-TV subscribers ('000s); Pay-TV subscribers/100 inhabitants; Cable TV subscribers ('000s); Direct-to-Home Subscribers ('000s)
BMI 5-Year Macroeconomic Forecast
BMI forecasts for all headline macroeconomic indicators, including real GDP growth, inflation, fiscal balance, trade balance, current account and external debt.

Competitive Landscape & Rankings
Commentary on key operators highlighting ownership structures, latest available revenue figures, market share analysis and ARPU counts.

Company Profiles & SWOTS
Company profiles, including SWOT (strengths, weaknesses, opportunities and threats) analyses, fully researched senior executives and contact details, business activity, leading products and services, and a record of all recent foreign direct investments and projects.

The Sector At A Glance

Key Insights On The Telecomunications Sector of the United Kingdom

The UK telecoms market remains one of the most dynamic in Europe. In recent quarters, we have flagged up the broadband sector in particular as an area of opportunity, with numerous new entrants, significant merger and acquisition (M&A) activity, and rapid take-up of services. Incumbent operator BT announced in early January that the number of connections on its broadband network had reached 10mn, double the target that it set itself five years ago. Based on this and signals from other operators, BMI believes that the broadband market reached our forecast of 13.5mn subscribers at year-end 2006, which represents annual growth of almost 37%. BT added 700,000 connections during the final quarter alone, although many of these were accounted for by alternative and local loop unbundling operators, such as Carphone Warehouse, Orange and Pipex. By 2011, BMI forecasts broadband penetration to rise from its current level of around 22% to 35%.

But some of the most interesting developments in the UK market over the past quarter have been regulatory in nature. In the broadband market, national regulator Ofcom has announced plans to facilitate the process of switching from one provider to another. From February 2007, all broadband service providers will be obliged to provide customers with a MAC code upon request, which enables them to move to a rival operator.

In the mobile sector, operators have been under pressure with regards to 3G services. In November 2006, the European Commission (EC) claimed that UK mobile operators were overcharging customers for calls as a means of recouping the cost of their 3G investments. The EC urged Ofcom to seriously rethink its support for the current level of call termination rates levied by the UK’s five network operators, O2, TMobile, Vodafone, Orange and Hutchison 3G. Meanwhile, Hutchison 3G has voiced complaints that its rival are failing to meet the high targets for 3G network coverage set out at the time of 3G licensing. Operators are required to achieve 80% population coverage by the end of 2007, but so far Hutchsion 3G is the only one to have met the target. Should Ofcom decide to crack down on the issue, operators could be forced to up their capex plans in order to hit their targets.

Meanwhile, Ofcom has announced plans to auction a swathe of new spectrum. The regulator opened a consultation on the plans in December, with an auction likely to take place later this year. Although the spectrum is part of the ‘3G expansion band’, Ofcom is pursuing a technology-neutral approach, meaning that bidders will be free to use it in whatever way they choose. BMI believes that parts of the spectrum could be used for the development of other wireless internet technologies such as WiMAX.

Competitive Landscape for Europe Telecommunications Reports: Sample of Companies Ranked

Commentary on key operators highlighting ownership structures, latest available revenue figures, market share analysis and ARPU counts. BMI forecasts for all headline macroeconomic indicators, including real GDP growth, inflation, fiscal balance, trade balance, current account and external debt. Company SWOTS Covering all leading telecommunications operators and manufacturers operating in each market, including competitive intelligence on geographic presence and competitive positioning against local companies; local market share; leading products, services and technologies; foreign direct investments, projects, merger and acquisition strategies.

* BH Telecom
* Bite GSM
* Bulgarian Telecommunications Company (BTC)
* Eesti Mobilitelefon (EMT)
*Elion Enterprises
* Globul
* Golden Telecom
* Kyivstar GSM
* Kyivstar GSM
* Lattelekom
* Latvijas Mobilais Telefons (LMT)
* Magyar Telekom
* MegaFon
* Mobile TeleSystems (MTS)
* Mobiltel (M-Tel)
* Mobiltel (M-Tel)
* Netia
* Nokia
* Omnitel
* Orange Romania
* Polkomtel
* Polska Telefonia Cyfrowa (PTC)
* RomTelecom
* Si.Mobil
* Siemens
* Slovak Telecom
* Svyazinvest
* Telecom Serbia
* Telefonica O2
* Telekom Montenegro
* Telekom Slovenije
* T-Hrvatski Telekom
* TPSA
* UMC
* Ukrtelecom
* VimpelCom
* VIPNet

Network of European Telecommunications Sources

BMI's European Telecommunications Reports are based on an extensive network of multilateral organisations, government departments, telecommunications industry associations, chambers of commerce and company reports. Information sources include:.

* Alcatel-Lucent
* Asociación Española de Usuarios de TeleComunicaciones y de la Sociedad de la Información(AUTELSI)
* Association Suisse d’Usagers de Télécommunications (ASUT)
* Authorité de Régulation des Communications Electroniques et des Postes (ARCEP)
* Autorità per le Garanzie nelle Comunicazioni (AGCOM)
* Autoritatea Nationala de Reglementare in Comunicatii (ANRC), Romania
* BT
* Bundesnetzagentur (formerly Regulierungsbehörde für Telekomunikation und Post (Reg TP)
* Bulgarian Telecommunications Company (BTC)
* Comisión del Mercado de las Telecomunicaciones (CMT)
* Communications Regulatory Authority (Ry?iu Reguliavimo Tarnyba, RRT), Lithuania
* Czech Telecommunication Office (CTO)
* Deutsche Telekom
* Digital Television Action Group (DIGITAG)
* Digital Terrestrial Group (DTG)
* Eesti Mobilitelefon (EMT), Estonia
* Estonian National Communications Board (ENCB)
* France Telecom
* International Telecommunications Union, (ITU)
* Latvijas Mobilais Telefons (LMT), Latvia
* Magyar Biztositók Szövetsége (MABISZ), Hungary
* Marconi
* National Telecommunications and Post Commission (EETT), Greece
* Netia Poland
* National Telecommunications Authority (Nemzeti Hírközlési Hatóság, NHH), Hungary
* Office Fédéral de la Communication (OFCOM)
* Office of Communications (OFCOM)
* Office of Telecommunications and Post Regulation
* Polish Cable TV Association
* Siemens
* Swisscom
* Telecom Italia
* Telefonica Moviles
* Telefonica O2, Czech Republic
* T-Hrvatski Telekom, Croatia
* T-Mobile
* Urzad Komunikacji Elektronicznej (UKE), Poland
* Vodafone

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Table of Contents

Chapter 1 - Executive Summary
Chapter 2 - Business Environment
West European Markets

UK

Table: Western Europe Business Environment Ranking

UK Telecoms Industry SWOT

Chapter 3 - Industry Forecast Scenario
Fixed-line

Table: UK Telecoms Sector – Fixed-lines – Historical Data & Forecasts

Internet

Table: UK Telecoms Sector – Internet – Historical Data & Forecasts

Mobile

Table: UK Telecoms Sector – Mobiles – Historical Data & Forecasts

Key Risks to BMI Forecast Scenario

Chapter 4 - Macroeconomic Forecast
Upward Revision Of GDP Figures

Table: United Kingdom - Macroeconomic Forecasts

Chapter 5 - Country Snapshot: UK Demographic Data
Section 1: Population:

Table: Demographic Indicators (2005)

Table: Rural/Urban Breakdown

Section 2: Education & Healthcare

Table: Education

Table: Healthcare: Vital Statistics

Table: Healthcare: Expenditure

Section 3: Labour Market And Spending Power

Table: Employment Indicators

Table: Consumption and Stratification

Table: Wages per year

Chapter 6 - Competitive Landscape
Table: Key Players: United Kingdom Telecoms Sector

Table: Selected Operators’ Financial Indicators

Fixed-Line Overview

Table: Regional Fixed-Line Penetration Overview

Internet Overview

Table: Regional Broadband Penetration Overview

Mobile Overview

Table: Regional Mobile Penetration Overview

Market Data: Fixed-Line

Table: Exchange Line Numbers By operator (2005-2006)

Broadband

Table: UK Broadband Market Q106

Mobile

Table: UK Mobile Market Q306

Industry Developments

Chapter 7 - Company Monitor
Regional Case Study: Nokia

Table: Key European Contracts

Selected Profiles - Operators

BT

Vodafone

Chapter 8 - BMI Forecast Modelling
How we generate our industry forecasts

Telecommunications Industry

Sources

Chapter 9 - Appendix: Regional Demographic Data
Wages (ave labour force per annum), US$ PPP

Population

Household Spending Per Capita, US$

Private Consumption Per Capita, US$ PPP

Market Size, GDP, US$bn

For full details, please email keithw@cmsinfo.com

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