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Table of Contents

List of Figures

Insights to the African telecom market 2011:

Analysis, forecasts and commentary
Including a country-by-country market appraisal

Table of Contents:


Disclaimer and Legal Notices.........2
Index.........3
Overview.........5
Fixed-line Telecoms.........5
Internet, Broadband and Digital Media.........6
The North African Internet Market.........7
SMS revenue share shrinking in favour of more advanced services.........7
Mobile market penetration has passed 50% amidst price wars.........8
National Markets.........11
Algeria - 3G mobile licences expected in 2011.........11
Angola - Market restructuring opens up new opportunities.........13
Benin - the dwarf that became an international fibre hub.........14
Botswana - One of the most penetrated mobile markets in Africa.........15
Burkina Faso - underdeveloped Internet sector.........16
Cameroon - An underperforming market set to catch up.........17
Chad - one of the world's least developed telecom markets.........18
Cote d'Ivoire - Highly competitive mobile market waiting for 3G broadband.........19
Democratic Republic of the Congo - Recovering from the global economic crisis.........20
Egypt - More than 200% annual growth in mobile broadband.........21
Ethiopia - One of Africa's last monopoly markets.........22
Gabon - A saturated mobile voice market desperate for 3G licences.........23
Gambia - Fifth mobile network entering at close to 100% market penetration.........24
Ghana - pioneer in African telecommunications.........25
Guinea - International fibre to land in 2011.........26
Kenya - Massive jump in mobile data revenue.........27
Lesotho - Broadband still hindered by high prices.........29

Liberia - International fibre to land in 2011/12.........30
Libya - Highest penetration rate but a little local difficulty.........31
Madagascar - One of the highest growth potential markets in Africa.........32
Malawi - New licensing regime promises boost to competition.........33
Mali - Strong mobile growth following privatisation.........34
Mauritius - One of Africa's most developed telecom and digital media markets.........35
Morocco - A booming 3G mobile broadband market.........36
Mozambique - Third network expected to deliver boost to mobile market.........37
Namibia - WACS international fibre optic cable sets the stage for a
broadband boom.........38
Nigeria - Africa's largest mobile market expected to reach 100 mn subscribers.........39
Rwanda - An underdeveloped market catching up fast.........41
Senegal - 3G mobile broadband gaining market share despite high prices 42
Sierra Leone - Sierratel to be privatised in dynamic market environment.........43
South Africa - The continent's leading telecoms and digital media market.........44
Sudan - the gem that Zain won't sell.........46
Tanzania - One of the most competitive mobile markets in Africa.........47
Tunisia - Orange goes head on with mobile broadband in post-duopoly Tunisia.........48
Uganda - Fibre, mobile broadband and mobile banking are revolutionising
Uganda's telecom sector.........49
Zambia - 3G mobile and international fibre access will trigger broadband growth.........50
Zimbabwe - Multi-currency system normalises telecom sector.........51
About Buddecomm.........53
About TelecomsMarketResearch.........55

List of Figures


Table 1: Top ten African Internet user communities - early-2010.........7
Table 2: Top 10 African countries by annual growth - 2010.........10
Table 3: Est. market penetration rates in Algeria's telecoms sector - end 2011.........12
Table 4: Market penetration rates in Algeria's telecoms sector - end 2010.........13
Table 5: Market penetration rates in Benin's telecoms sector - end 2010.........14
Table 6: Est. market penetration rates in Botswana's telecoms sector - end 2011.........15
Table 7: FasoNet (Onatel) Internet subscribers - 2006 - 2010.........16
Table 8: Est. market penetration rates in Cameroon's telecoms sector - end 2011.........17
Table 9: Est. market penetration rates in Chad's telecoms sector - end-2011.........18
Table 10: Orance CI subscribers - 2002 - 2010.........19
Table 11: Est market penetration rates in the DRC's telecoms sector - end 2011.........20
Table 12: Market penetration rates in Egypt's telecoms sector - January 2011.........21
Table 13: Est. market penetration rates in Ethiopia's telecoms sector - end 2011.........22
Table 14: Est. market penetration rates in Gabon's telecoms sector - end 2011.........23
Table 15: Est. market penetration rates in Gambia's telecoms sector - end-2011.........24
Table 16: Vodafone Ghana 3G mobile broadband post-paid pricing - Aug 2010.........25
Table 17: Est. market penetration rates in Guinea's telecoms sector - end-2011.........26
Table 18: Est. market penetration rates in Kenya's telecoms sector - end-2011.........28
Table 19: Est. market penetration rates in Lesotho's telecoms sector - end-2011.........29
Table 20: Est. market penetration rates in Liberia's telecoms sector - end-2011.........30
Table 21: Est. market penetration rates in Libya's telecoms sector - end 2011.........31

Table 22: Est. market penetration rates in Madagascar's telecoms
sector - end 2011.........32
Table 23: Est. market penetration rates in Malawi's telecoms sector - end 2011.........33
Table 24: Est. market penetration rates in Mali's telecoms sector - end-2011.........34
Table 25: Est. market penetration rates in Mauritius's telecoms sector - end 2011.........35
Table 26: Distribution of ADSL access by speed - March 2010.........36
Table 27: Est. market penetration rates in Mozambique's telecoms
sector - end 2011.........37
Table 28: Est. market penetration rates in Namibia's telecoms sector - end 2011.........38
Table 29: Est. market penetration rates in Nigeria's telecoms sector - end 2011.........40
Table 30: Est. market penetration rates in Rwanda's telecoms sector - end 2011.........41
Table 31: Expresso CDMA fixed-wireless access subscribers - 2009 - 2010.........42
Table 32: Est. market penetration rates in Sierra Leone's telecoms
sector - end-2011.........43
Table 33: Telkom SA WiMAX subscribers - 2008 - 2010.........45
Table 34: Est. market penetration rates in Sudan's telecoms sector - end-2011.........46
Table 35: Est. market penetration rates in Tanzania's telecoms sector-end 2011.........47
Table 36: Tunisia's International Internet bandwidth - 2001; 2006 - 2010.........48
Table 37: Est. market penetration rates in Uganda's telecoms sector - end-2011.........49
Table 38: Est. market penetration rates in Zambia's telecoms sector - end-2011.........50
Table 39: Est. market penetration rates in Zimbabwe's telecoms
sector - end-2011.........52

List of Charts


Chart 1: Africa Mobile Penetration Map 3Q 2008...11
Chart 2: Africa Mobile Penetration Map 3Q 2011...12
Chart 3: Algeria Net Additions 3Q09-3Q11.........13
Chart 4: Angola Mobile Operators 2Q 2011.........15
Chart 5: Botswana Mobile Subscribers & Penetration
            1Q08-4Q10.........17
Chart 6: Burkina Faso Mobile & Fixed Subscribers
            2006-2010.........18
Chart 7: Cameroon Mobile Operators by Market
            Share 1Q 2011.........20
Chart 8: Egypt Mobile Operator Market Share
            2008-2011.........24
Chart 9: Ghana Subscriber Base & Quarterly Change
            3Q09-3Q11.........28
Chart 10: Guinea Republic Mobile Operator Market
            Share 2Q 2011.........29
Chart 11: Kenya Safaricom Mobile Subscribers &
             Quarterly Change 1Q08-3Q11.........30
Chart 12: Lesotho Mobile Operators by Market Share
            4Q10.........32

Chart 13: Madagascar Mobile Operators by
            Market Share 4Q10.........35
Chart 14: Malawi Mobile Subscribers & Penetration
            2Q08-2Q10.........37
Chart 15: Mali Mobile Operators by Market Share
            1Q 2011.........38
Chart 16: Morocco 3G Subscribers by Mobile Operator
            1Q 2011.........40
Chart 17: Mozambique Mobile Subscribers & Penetration
            4Q08-4Q10.........42
Chart 19: Nigeria Mobile & Fixed Subscribers
            Monthly Change 2010 - 3Q 2011.........45
Chart 20: Rwanda Mobile Subscribers &
            Penetration 2Q09 - 2Q11.........47
Chart 21: Senegal Mobile & Fixed Market Share
            2Q11.........49
Chart 22: South Africa Telkom Mobile Subscribers &
            Quarterly Change 2Q09-3Q11.........52
Chart 23: Zimbabwe Mobile Subscribers & Penetration
            1Q09-1Q11.........59





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