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Caribbean Submarine Fiber Optics 2007
The Caribbean Submarine Fiber Optics 2007 report is a comprehensive study of current trends in this growing regional market.
The report provides profiles of all existing and planned submarine cable systems which serve the Caribbean region and profiles of each island nation with particular focus on submarine fiber optic connectivity and the potential for growth.
Pioneer also uses its proprietary methodology to forecast demand for Internet, Mobile Data, Corporate Data, and Voice connectivity on an island-by-island basis. This analysis builds into a supply-demand balance forecast for the region as a whole to 2017.
To conclude the report, Pioneer takes a step back from its quantitative and qualitative analysis to survey the Caribbean market as a whole and its prospects for the next ten years.
Highlights of the report include:
- The build-out of regional systems to gain access to North America
- The rise of new competitors
- The impact of 2.5G/3G/4G mobile technology
- Exponential growth in broadband users and mobile subscribers
- The emergence of Haiti
- Cuba gets connected
- Bahamas as a strategic hub
Pioneer has a strong track record of forecasting key trends in regional markets. In 2003, at the bottom of the industry cycle, Pioneer's previous version of this report made a number of predictions for the Caribbean Submarine Fiber Optics market. Some of these predictions seemed incredible at the time but, as the table below shows, fact is often stranger than fiction.
Pioneer 2003 Caribbean Report Predictions and Outcomes
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Prediction |
Outcome |
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Demand may not be satisfied unless governments address the issue of access infrastructure.
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Only 3% of Caribbean Internet users had broadband access in 2003 but by 2007 this figure had risen to 50%. |
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Investment will return to the submarine sector
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2000-2003 only $35M was invested in Caribbean regional cables. 2004-7 $255M was invested.
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Numerous niche operators will erode Cable & Wireless’ market share as market liberalization permits.
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Of the eleven new cables built or planned since 2003, only two were initiated by existing market players. |
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C&W could respond to increased competition by flooding the market with capacity.
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Six of the Caribbean cables in which C&W has an interest have been or are planned to be upgraded since 2003 |
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The likely focus of existing and new competitors will be more regional than “global”.
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Seven new regional Caribbean systems have been built since 2003 with another four planned. |
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A pan-Caribbean ring with a direct connection to North America may be a more cost-effective connection.
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“CFX-1” will connect Columbia to Florida, turning the ARCOS system into a pan-Caribbean figure of eight. |
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Puerto Rico will maintain its leading role.
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Nearly a quarter of all existing and planned cables in the Caribbean land in Puerto Rico
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For anyone involved in the Caribbean telecom industry, this study is not only an invaluable reference for this fragmented market but it is also the business planner's trusted guide based on proven quantitative research and analysis of likely market trends.
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Table of Contents
Chapter 1 - Executive Summary
1.1 Report aims
1.2 Report structure and methodology
1.3 Demand Forecasts
1.4 Opportunities
1.4.1 Prospects for the Caribbean
1.4.2 Conclusions
Chapter 2 - Introduction
2.1 Purpose of the Report
2.2 Report Scope
2.3 Methodology
Chapter 3 - Submarine Cable Connectivity
3.1 Introduction
3.2 Caribbean Overview
3.2.1 North Caribbean
3.2.2 West Caribbean
3.2.3 East Caribbean
3.3 Caribbean Regional Cables
3.3.1 Alonso de Ojeda
3.3.2 Antillas-1
3.3.3 Antilles Crossing
3.3.4 Bahamas-2
3.3.5 BDSNi
3.3.6 BICS
3.3.7 Calypso-1 (Proposed)
3.3.8 Carac
3.3.9 Cayman-Jamaica Fibre System
3.3.10 Eastern Caribbean Fiber System
3.3.11 Fibralink
3.3.12 Gemini Bermuda
3.3.13 Global Caribbean Network / Guadeloupe Numérique (GCN)
3.3.14 Middle Caribbean Network / Martinique Numérique (MCN)
3.3.15 North Caribbean Fiber (NCF) (Proposed)
3.3.16 SMPR-1
3.3.17 Southern Caribbean Fiber (SCF)
3.3.18 Taino-Carib
3.3.19 TransCaribbean Cable Network (TCCN)
3.3.20 Trinidad-Curacao Sub Sea Fibre Project
3.3.21 Venezuela - Cuba (Proposed)
3.4 Latin America-North America Ultra-long Haul Cables
3.4.1 Americas-1
3.4.2 Americas-2
3.4.3 ARCOS
3.4.4 GlobeNet
3.4.5 Maya-1
3.4.6 Pan American
3.4.7 Pan American Crossing
3.4.8 SAm-1 (formerly Emergia)
3.4.9 South American Crossing
Chapter 4 - Supply-Demand Forecasts
4.1 Introduction
4.2 Methodology & Assumptions
4.2.1 Internet Methodology & Assumptions
4.2.2 Corporate Data Demand Methodology & Assumptions
4.2.3 Voice Traffic Demand Methodology & Assumptions
4.2.4 Mobile Traffic Demand Methodology & Assumptions
4.2.5 Submarine Cable Capacity Supply Methodology & Assumptions
4.3 Caribbean Country Profiles & Supply-Demand Forecasts
4.3.1 Antigua & Barbuda
4.3.2 Aruba
4.3.3 Bahamas
4.3.4 Barbados
4.3.5 Bermuda
4.3.6 Cayman Is.
4.3.7 Cuba
4.3.8 Dominica
4.3.9 Dominican Rep.
4.3.10 Grenada
4.3.11 Guadeloupe
4.3.12 Haiti
4.3.13 Jamaica
4.3.14 Martinique
4.3.15 Netherlands Antilles
4.3.16 Puerto Rico
4.3.17 St. Kitts & Nevis
4.3.18 St. Lucia
4.3.19 St. Vincent & the Grenadines
4.3.20 Trinidad & Tobago
4.3.21 U.S. Virgin Islands
4.4 Regional Supply-Demand Balance Summary
Chapter 5 - Prospects for the Caribbean Submarine Cable Industry
5.1 Historical Perspective
5.2 Commercial Environment
5.3 Future Opportunities
5.4 Conclusions
5.4.1 Suppliers
5.4.2 Opportunities
Chapter 6 - Conclusion
6.1 Demand
6.1.1 Leading Countries
6.1.2 Demand Profile
6.1.3 Access Speed vs. Bandwidth Usage
6.2 Competition
6.2.1 De-regulation
6.2.2 Competitive Strategies
6.3 Supply-Demand Balances
6.3.1 North American Connectivity Supply-Demand Balances
6.3.2 Intra-Regional Supply-Demand Balances
6.5 Planned Construction
6.5.1 New North America-Latin America Systems
6.5.2 New Regional Systems
6.6 Opportunities
List of Exhibits
Chapter 1 - Executive Summary
1.1 Forecast Caribbean Demand for North American Submarine Cable Connectivity 2007-17
1.2 Forecast Caribbean Demand for Intra-Regional Submarine Cable Connectivity 2007-17
1.3 Forecast Breakdown of Caribbean Demand for North American Submarine Connectivity & Average Bandwidth per User 2007-17
1.4 Forecast Breakdown of Caribbean Demand for Intra-Regional Submarine Capacity & Average Access Speed 2007-17
1.5 Forecast Demand for North American Submarine Cable Connectivity in Leading Caribbean Countries 2007-17
1.6 Forecast Demand for Regional Submarine Connectivity in Leading Caribbean Countries 2007-17
Chapter 3 - Submarine Cable Connectivity
3.1 Cable Map - North Caribbean Systems
3.2 Cable Map - West Caribbean Systems
3.3 Cable Map - East Caribbean Systems
3.4 Cable Map - BICS
3.5 Cable Map - Carac
3.6 Cable Map - Eastern Caribbean Fiber System
3.7 Cable Map - Fibralink System
3.8 Cable Map - Trinidad-Curacao Sub Sea Fibre Project
3.9 Cable Map - 360 Americas
3.10 Cable Map - Americas-1
3.11 Cable Map - Americas-2
3.12 Cable Map - ARCOS
3.13 Cable Map - Maya-1
3.14 Cable Map - Pan American
3.15 Cable Map - Pan American Crossing
3.16 Cable Map - SAm-1
3.17 Cable Map - South American Crossing
Chapter 4 - Supply-Demand Forecasts
4.1 Forecast Caribbean Dial-up & Broadband Penetration 2007-17
4.2 GDP per Head vs. Teledensity in Caribbean
4.3 Forecast Evolution of Average Broadband Access Speeds in Caribbean States 2007-17
4.4 Forecast Caribbean Average Access Speed (All Users) 2007-2017
4.5 Forecast Evolution of Optimal Application Bandwidth Requirements 2007-17
4.6 Forecast Caribbean Bandwidth per User by Country 2007-17
4.7 Forecast Trend in Caribbean Data Demand Satisfied by IP VPN 2007-17
4.8 Total Caribbean Voice Traffic Demand 1993-2003
4.9 Forecast Demand for North American Submarine Connectivity & Average Bandwidth per User - Antigua & Barbuda
4.10 Forecast Demand for Regional Submarine Connectivity & Average Access Speed - Antigua & Barbuda
4.11 Forecast Demand for North American Submarine Connectivity & Average Bandwidth per User - Aruba
4.12 Forecast Demand for Regional Submarine Connectivity & Average Access Speed - Aruba
4.13 Forecast Demand for North American Submarine Connectivity & Average Bandwidth per User - Bahamas
4.14 Forecast Demand for Regional Submarine Connectivity & Average Access Speed - Bahamas
4.15 Forecast Demand for North American Submarine Connectivity & Average Bandwidth per User - Barbados
4.16 Forecast Demand for Regional Submarine Connectivity & Average Access Speed - Barbados
4.17 Forecast Demand for North American Submarine Connectivity & Average Bandwidth per User - Bermuda
4.18 Forecast Demand for Regional Submarine Connectivity & Average Access Speed - Bermuda
4.19 Forecast Demand for North American Submarine Connectivity & Average Bandwidth per User - Cayman Islands
4.20 Forecast Demand for Regional Submarine Connectivity & Average Access Speed - Cayman Islands
4.21 Forecast Demand for North American Submarine Connectivity & Average Bandwidth per User - Cuba
4.22 Forecast Demand for Regional Submarine Connectivity & Average Access Speed - Cuba
4.23 Forecast Demand for North American Submarine Connectivity & Average Bandwidth per User - Dominica
4.24 Forecast Demand for Regional Submarine Connectivity & Average Access Speed - Dominica
4.25 Forecast Demand for North American Submarine Connectivity & Average Bandwidth per User - Dominican Rep.
4.26 Forecast Demand for Regional Submarine Connectivity & Average Access Speed - Dominican Rep.
4.27 Forecast Demand for North American Submarine Connectivity & Average Bandwidth per User - Grenada
4.28 Forecast Demand for Regional Submarine Connectivity & Average Access Speed - Grenada
4.29 Forecast Demand for North American Submarine Connectivity & Average Bandwidth per User - Guadeloupe
4.30 Forecast Demand for Regional Submarine Connectivity & Average Access Speed - Guadeloupe
4.31 Forecast Demand for North American Submarine Connectivity & Average Bandwidth per User - Haiti
4.32 Forecast Demand for Regional Submarine Connectivity & Average Access Speed - Haiti
4.33 Forecast Demand for North American Submarine Connectivity & Average Bandwidth per User - Jamaica
4.34 Forecast Demand for Regional Submarine Connectivity & Average Access Speed - Jamaica
4.35 Forecast Demand for North American Submarine Connectivity & Average Bandwidth per User - Martinique
4.36 Forecast Demand for Regional Submarine Connectivity & Average Access Speed - Martinique
4.37 Forecast Demand for North American Submarine Connectivity & Average Bandwidth per User - Netherlands Antilles
4.38 Forecast Demand for Regional Submarine Connectivity & Average Access Speed - Netherlands Antilles
4.39 Forecast Demand for North American Submarine Connectivity & Average Bandwidth per User - Puerto Rico
4.40 Forecast Demand for Regional Submarine Connectivity & Average Access Speed - Puerto Rico
4.41 Forecast Demand for North American Submarine Connectivity & Average Bandwidth per User - St. Kitts & Nevis
4.42 Forecast Demand for Regional Submarine Connectivity & Average Access Speed - St. Kitts & Nevis
4.43 Forecast Demand for North American Submarine Connectivity & Average Bandwidth per User - St. Lucia
4.44 Forecast Demand for Regional Submarine Connectivity & Average Access Speed - St. Lucia
4.45 Forecast Demand for North American Submarine Connectivity & Average Bandwidth per User - St. Vincent & the Grenadines
4.46 Forecast Demand for Regional Submarine Connectivity & Average Access Speed - St. Vincent & the Grenadines
4.47 Forecast Demand for North American Submarine Connectivity & Average Bandwidth per User - Trinidad & Tobago
4.48 Forecast Demand for Regional Submarine Connectivity & Average Access Speed - Trinidad & Tobago
4.49 Forecast Demand for North American Submarine Connectivity & Average Bandwidth per User - US Virgin Islands
4.50 Forecast Demand for Regional Submarine Connectivity & Average Access Speed - US Virgin Islands
4.51 Forecast Total Cumulative Caribbean Demand for North American Connectivity 2007-17
4.52 Forecast Total Cumulative Caribbean Demand for Regional Submarine Connectivity 2007-17
4.35 Forecast Demand for North American Submarine Cable Connectivity in Leading Caribbean Countries 2007-17
4.54 Forecast Demand for Regional Submarine Capacity in Leading Caribbean Countries 2007-17
4.55 Profiles of Forecast Caribbean Demand for North American & Regional Submarine Cable Connectivity
4.56 Forecast Evolution of Average Caribbean Internet Access Speed and Bandwidth per User
Chapter 5 - Prospects for the Caribbean Submarine Cable Industry
5.1 Summary of Caribbean Commercial Environment (sorted by Submarine Capacity Demand Growth)
Chapter 6 - Conclusion
6.1 Unsatisfied Caribbean Demand for Direct North American connectivity by 2017
6.2 Unsatisfied Caribbean Demand for Intra-Regional Connectivity by 2017
For full details, please email keithw@cmsinfo.com
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